2024 Election Prediction

By Leo Gura - October 25, 2024

First, regardless of what I say here, please go vote.

Now, on to the prediction…

The race is razor tight, so any prediction is foolish, but I am sensing a Trump victory.

Why?

Because I just see way too much false equivocating, excuse-making, complacency, Stage Orange mania, and contempt for the mainstream. By and large people are not taking the danger of a second Trump administration seriously. They rationalize it as not so bad, not worse than the first Trump term, etc. People are acting like spoiled juveniles, and they are proud of themselves for it. This does not bode well. This is a clear marker of collective immaturity and dysfunction.

The American public is behaving like a child playing with a live hand-grenade. That’s the mood I’m seeing. It doesn’t feel right. The whole mood is wrong. People have lost their minds with internet brain-rot political ideology. This election should not even be close. That it is so close is an indictment of America.

Three groups here need to be especially called out:

1) The corporate class, billionaires, capitalist elites, Tech Bros:

The corporate billionaire class is cynically aligning with power and fascism, as the industrialists aligned with the Nazi party in Nazi Germany, because they think it will help them get favors for their business interests. This is pure capitalist corruption. Pure megalomaniac neoliberal delusion, greed, and cynicism. These people have sold out democracy for a bump in their stock portfolio. These people have deluded themselves into believing that Trump is good for the economy. These people don’t even recognize the problem of toxic Stage Orange. To them, peak toxic Orange is the ideal government.

2) Alternative, non-mainstream media:

I see much of alternative media downplaying the dangers of Trump because they are blinded by their contempt for mainstream media, having built their identities and careers around it. The starkest example of this is the YT channel Breaking Points. Mainstream bad, alternative good. That is the effective sum total of their childish logic. Yet these alt media channels now have huge audiences. Their audiences are politically ignorant and easily misled. Channels like Joe Rogan and Breaking Points have spent years priming their large audiences against anything mainstream, the end result of which is not voting for Harris. These people are anti-mainstream, anti-vax, anti-bureaucracy, anti-elite. But in practice these people will just end up serving power with their bumbling naivety. These people have no idea how damaging Trump can be. These people think that Trump is a solution to the dumpster fire that is Washington corruption, without seeing that he is the gasoline.

3) Pro-Palestinian, anti-war, anti-Ukraine leftists:

These people are so obsessed with Palestinian genocide and hatred of the neoliberal establishment that they just cannot bring themselves to vote for a corporate Dem. It’s all the same to them. Harris is just a continuation of Biden’s complicity in genocide and endless war. These people will vote 3rd party or not at all. They will reduce politics to these two issues in this election cycle. These leftists do not properly evaluate the damage that a second Trump administration would do to all of their leftist Green ideals, as Trump guts the entire Federal bureaucracy, all social programs, and further corrupts the Supreme Court with far right ideologues and Christian stooges. But their error gets even worse. They do not recognize that Trump will be much worse on the Palestinian issue than Biden. If you think Trump gives any fucks at all about Arab lives, you are delusional. Which is why Netanyahu clearly favors Trump. By voting 3rd party you are actually helping Netanyahu to wipe Palestine off the map. But these leftists are too wrapped up in hating on Biden to see this. These leftists are so moral that they are okay with electing a fascist because they are too moral, too pure to vote for a mainstream Dem. A mainstream Dem is just too corrupt for them, but Trump is somehow tolerable. And lastly, these leftists are wrong about Trump being anti-war. Trump is a shameless lying unhinged fascist! Fascists are not anti-war. They are characterologically pro war, pro violence, pro force, pro authoritarian, pro domination, pro abuse, pro revenge. If you think Trump will save you from war, you misunderstand the basic psychology of fascists, authoritarians, sociopaths, and devils. You are gonna believe the Devil when he tells you he’s anti-war? Get the fuck outta here! Perhaps Trump’s greatest con is this image of him as peaceful. Wake up! There are no peaceful fascists!

Therefore, Trump is likely to win. If he wins, it will not be due to MAGA fanatics, but because of the deep miscalculations of these three groups, who have downplayed and rationalized away his corruption and danger. They rationalized it to themselves and to their followers in a shameless dereliction of leadership and dismal political strategy.

A second Trump term would be absolutely disastrous. It will be by far the most corrupt form of government that America has ever had, by an order of magnitude. The corruption will be horrific and unimaginable. Expect war, violence, abuse of power at unprecedented scale, loss of many freedoms, Federal ban on abortion, white supremacy, Christian theocracy, criminals in the White House, fraud, corporate exploitation, gutting of all good regulations, a generation-long destruction of the Supreme Court, erosion of the legal system, concentration camps for migrants, abuse of all types of minorities, gross incompetence and mismanagement, poisoning of the food and water supply, pardoning of elite criminals, stock market collapse, crypto market collapse, and perhaps the end of democracy and elections. I’m not saying this will happen with 100% certainty, but it’s reasonably probable — which is a completely irresponsible thing to gamble with.

There is no equivalence. This matter is crystal clear. Trump is a monster, a devil, a criminal, and a disaster. Trump, and everyone in his administration, is POISON. They are poison minds, poison human beings. Poisoned by ego, ideology, greed, lies, ignorance, self-deception, and lust for power. If they are elected they will inject their poison into the bloodstream of not just America but the world.

Electing Donald Trump to fix the world’s problems is exactly like electing a fox to guard your hen house.

With that said, Kamala Harris is a mediocre and hollow presidential candidate. But, at least she’s not a ravenous poison fox.

Now, please go vote.

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