Leo Gura

New War In Israel / Gaza

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@HMD That couldnt be otherwise because egypt didnt want to help, and open borders would bring terrorists into israel.

Edited by Nivsch

🌻 Thinking independently about the spiral stages themselves is important for going through them in an organic, efficient way. If you stick to an external idea about how a stage should be you lose touch with its real self customized process trying to happen inside you.

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@Nivsch Israel has been accused of violating or failing to fulfill specific obligations it had committed to under various ceasefire agreements on different occasions to alleviate or lift the blockade. “Crossings were repeatedly shut and buffer zones were reinstated. Imports declined, exports were blocked, and fewer Gazans were given exit permits to Israel and the West Bank. The blockade has been decried by human rights groups, international community representatives and legal professionals as a form of collective punishment in contravention of international law, specifically the Fourth Geneva Convention. Rights groups have held Israel mainly responsible as the occupying power.


"The wise seek wisdom, a fool has found it."

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The reasons cited for Israel's refusal to allow passage of basic necessities are untenable. Israel claimed that its restrictions were necessary to put pressure on Hamas officials to halt or substantially hinder the firing of rockets into Southern Israel. However, there is no reasonable relationship between depriving Gazan civilians of subsistence items and the suppression of Hamas' rocket launchings against Israeli towns. Israel's duties to "protected persons" as an occupier of the Gaza Strip under Article 55 of the Fourth Geneva Convention require that it allow the passage of all aid, foodstuffs, and water given the severity of the humanitarian crisis. The blockade appears to have clearly violated this provision of the law of occupation.


"The wise seek wisdom, a fool has found it."

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Israel instituted the blockade against the Gaza Strip not in response to a violent attack, but rather in response to Hamas's ascension to exclusive authority in the Gaza Strip, and earlier in response to the Hamas victory in the 2006 Palestinian elections. Israel, in short, engaged in an act of war against an occupied people, and violated its legal obligations to them long before Operation Cast Lead had commenced.

 

A multi-referenced University of California, Hastings College of the Law analysis in 2009  

Edited by HMD

"The wise seek wisdom, a fool has found it."

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6 hours ago, Danioover9000 said:

   Very interesting podcast with Sam Harris on Israel/Palestine conflict:

 

It’s a nice decent discussion but in the end all that blablablabli all those concepts all that look at me i’m smart and can into exalted language and know what’s up…. what is it really good for?

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Yeah, if you notice, Weinstein's solution to the problem is laughably unrealistic, despite all his fancy logic.

Fancy academic logic is not gonna solve this issue. Which is why guys like Weinstein don't run governments or militaries.

Edited by Leo Gura

You are God. You are Truth. You are Love. You are Infinity.

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@zazen this paints a different picture

https://youtu.be/OagYlYna75Y?feature=shared


what is interesting is that he says even if troops invaded — to finally eliminate Hamas form their roots, others will spring up. innocent people being killed left and right in the middle of all of this, but “you should get sense in your mind b/c war is ugly and civilians die”. Between that and annexing some of Gaza, what is this looking like? Routinely killing people every number of years out of “we don’t know WTF else to do about it” gets ugly over time. 

Edited by Happy Lizard

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Hamas wants Israel to invade Gaza, why else would they do what they did?   It's like a chess game with human lives.  Israel knows it's their move, as the world watches.  Do they move without looking ahead?   They seem to be... as I see it.   Will they move, it's their turn.

Could it come to a stalemate?  The board ( Gaza) has been a little trashed already.

Edited by Sir Oberon

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1 hour ago, Sir Oberon said:

Hamas wants Israel to invade Gaza, why else would they do what they did?

Stage Red terrorists may not think that far. They may just act out of bloodthirst, not strategy.

If Hamas has the opportunity to kill 1000 Jews, they may just pounce on it without much thought of the consequences.

The problem is that a Jihadist doesn't really care because he's ready to die either way.

Edited by Leo Gura

You are God. You are Truth. You are Love. You are Infinity.

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Iran seems to be behind hamas and they seem to be quite strategical though, they aren’t idiots for sure

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maybe russia/iran want to open a kind of 2 front war against the west, ukraine, israel while china is eyeing taiwan

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5 minutes ago, PurpleTree said:

Iran seems to be behind hamas and they seem to be quite strategical though, they aren’t idiots for sure

That is true.

But it's unclear to me whether Iran wants Israel to invade Gaza. On the one hand it may bog Israel down. On the other hand Israel has a pretty good army and they might do some serious damage to Hamas.

Edited by Leo Gura

You are God. You are Truth. You are Love. You are Infinity.

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1 hour ago, Leo Gura said:

That is true.

But it's unclear to me whether Iran wants Israel to invade Gaza. On the one hand it may bog Israel down. On the other hand Israel has a pretty good army and they might do some serious damage to Hamas.

"The New York Times was the first to report that the U.S. had collected multiple pieces of intelligence showing that key Iranian leaders did not know the attack was coming and were caught by surprise.Oct 11, 2023"

https://www.reuters.com/world/initial-us-intelligence-shows-hamas-attack-surprised-iranian-leaders-ny-times-2023-10-11/

The scope and manner of the attack may not have been known. Who knows.

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13 hours ago, HMD said:

@Mesopotamian A very bad assumption that nobody gives a shit about them. Baseless assumption. People attach a lot of meaning to these sites. 
 

From your perspective, you see it as a delusion. Most people don’t. 

Every nation, or even individuals need to grow up at one point and stop their attachments to walls, rocks, buildings... etc.. When are Muslims going to grow up?

Also same for Jewish people, their sentiment is used to plant a state where it doesn't belong, so here's what they get. I wonder how many decades now it might take for an Israili Jewish to feel safe again sleeping few miles away from Palaetenians 

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5 hours ago, Sir Oberon said:

Hamas wants Israel to invade Gaza, why else would they do what they did?  

Israel is so much stronger than hamas and also more than any other country in the region because of its culture of learning from every mistake, survival mentality for 75 years and democracy level of development which allows variety of opinions and endless brainstorming. 

If hamas wants that, it is a suicidal desire.

Edited by Nivsch

🌻 Thinking independently about the spiral stages themselves is important for going through them in an organic, efficient way. If you stick to an external idea about how a stage should be you lose touch with its real self customized process trying to happen inside you.

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@Nivsch

1 hour ago, Nivsch said:

Israel is so much stronger than hamas and also more than any other country in the region because of its culture of learning from every mistake, survival mentality for 75 years and democracy level of development which allows variety of opinions and endless brainstorming. 

If hamas wants that, it is a suicidal desire.

True, at this point Hamas is much weaker technologically at least than Israel,

I'm not sure what are they putting they bets on, maybe they thought about negotiating there way out of this with the hostages?

yet again they might wanna try even if it looks suicidal at this point, stage red much? 

Edited by GabeN

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31 minutes ago, GabeN said:

@Nivsch

True, at this point Hamas is much weaker technologically at least than Israel,

I'm not sure what are they putting they bets on, maybe they thought about negotiating there way out of this with the hostages?

yet again they might wanna try even if it looks suicidal at this point, stage red much? 

Jihadists act only out of hatred and to go to paradise, but their leaders are strategists. I would say that the objective is to provoke a great massacre of Palestinians that unites and radicalizes the Islamic world and stop the conversations with the Saudis. one more step in the large-scale jihad by which its leaders live while enjoying luxuries in rich countries, and also earn points to enjoy privileged positions in paradise when they die. According to them, Allah wants this, it is written clearly in the Koran, and disobedience is punishable by hell.

Edited by Breakingthewall

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2 hours ago, Nivsch said:

Israel is so much stronger than hamas and also more than any other country in the region because of its culture of learning from every mistake, survival mentality for 75 years and democracy level of development which allows variety of opinions and endless brainstorming. 

If hamas wants that, it is a suicidal desire.

Hamas can't be fought in isolation. If Hamas is attacked Hezbollah will be involved and they have 200k soldiers around Israel. I doubt Israel is able to survive this, and if it does, it might wish it didn't.

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7 minutes ago, StarStruck said:

Hamas can't be fought in isolation. If Hamas is attacked Hezbollah will be involved and they have 200k soldiers around Israel. I doubt Israel is able to survive this, and if it does, it might wish it didn't.

@StarStruck You are way underestimating the strength of Israel's army. Israel vs Hezbollah will be hard fought, but there is no universe in which Israel doesn't win that war. You are comparing an advanced military backed by 2-3 US aircraft carriers to a terrorist organization with no tanks nor aircraft (other than unmanned). If Israel is truly attacked from all sides including Iran, then it might actually be an existential war (one in which the US is likely to heavily intervene). But don't forget, Israel knows what happens if they lose (the 7th of October on a massive scale), and more than likely has a few nukes under its belt. If it feels it's about to lose, it will not hesitate to pull them out.

Edited by SurfingBird

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