Risk of combined Russian/Chinese aggression?

[actuallyenlightened]

Now that Russia has officially invaded Ukraine, I was wondering if Putin would go further and try to completely disband NATO and get the US out of Europe (or at least central-Eastern Europe). Something like mounting an invasion of Poland, Romania, the Baltic and attempting to put in pro-Russian puppet states; with the final goal to sign an agreement with France/Germany to remove American influence and force economic concessions.

While China and Russia aren't the friendliest of allies, I could see it as being in China's interest to invade Taiwan since the US would have to fight two major wars half way around the world. If this were the case, they would be waiting to see and only executing their plan if Russia wins a decisive victory in Ukraine.. which is a big if. 

I think it's quite unlikely given that China is already facing a lot of social/economic pressure. But at the same time the more an authoritarian country feels under pressure the more likely it would try to divert attention outwards..

I hope such a tragic outcome will not occur.

 

[Ananta]

Absolutely, they may invade Taiwan, because NATO and the US has already shown they won't do shit, except some sanctions. I'm sure Putin thought of that and proceeded anyway, so why wouldn't China do the same?

 

 

[PurpleTree]

well then we can finally see if NATO and recently QUAD are worth something

or if they're just a scam

but then it's also lights out for all of us anyway ??

[Yarco]

Why bother with these what-if questions. Nobody knows, and it seems like a waste of time to stress yourself out wondering if things will happen.

Seems like a great time for North Korea to stir up some trouble too. And Iran. Maybe the Taliban is gonna try to slip under the radar and take over Turkmenistan or Tajikistan. 

You're just telling yourself stories. Just wait and see.

This is like clinically diagnosable anxiety, just turn off the news for a bit and you'll see nothing is actually happening that will locally affect you.

Edited February 25, 2022 by Yarco

[Preety_India]

What's up with Asia yo? 

All of this will create a bad reputation for Asia. 

[Ananta]

11 minutes ago, Yarco said:

You're just telling yourself stories. Just wait and see.

It's all over the news that there's a high probability of China invading Taiwan now that there's an active Russian-Ukraine war. Sure, maybe it won't happen, but it's very likely that it will. Just like it was very likely Russia would invade Ukraine and here we are.

[actuallyenlightened]

2 hours ago, Ananta said:

Absolutely, they may invade Taiwan, because NATO and the US has already shown they won't do shit, except some sanctions. I'm sure Putin thought of that and proceeded anyway, so why wouldn't China do the same?

 

 

The US said from the beginning that they won't intervene militarily in Ukraine, that's so that if the US promises to defend Taiwan (or another NATO state), then they would be taken seriously. 

 

2 hours ago, PurpleTree said:

but then it's also lights out for all of us anyway ??

You'll probably know if they're heading towards a nuclear war. If so it'll be fairly safe to be in South/Central America, Africa, polynesia, northern Canada etc.

 

2 hours ago, Ananta said:

It's all over the news that there's a high probability of China invading Taiwan now that there's an active Russian-Ukraine war. Sure, maybe it won't happen, but it's very likely that it will. Just like it was very likely Russia would invade Ukraine and here we are.

Well China's in a different situation. The communist party is likely a lot more divided than is admitted (Xi vs Zemin factions) and Xi may not have enough connections in the PLA to convince them to go to war. The objective of his intensifying rhetoric may simply be to make the general citizen a nationalist who believes wholeheartedly in the party; good for maintaining power. China losing a war would almost certainly cause the people to lose faith in the party leading to their demise - a possibility that the CCP can prevent by talking about war without creating one.