Leo Gura

Make Your 2020 General Election Predictions Here!

2,418 posts in this topic

1 minute ago, Free Mind said:

Could you expand on the lawsuit on mail-in votes?

That would be voided. 


INFJ-T,ptsd,BPD, autism, anger issues

Cleared out ignore list today. 

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I listened to Trump's vote counting speech. He said that in Pennsylvania they are counting ballots that come in three days after the election day, without postmarks. So that's a valid accusation I think. As I understand it, there needs to be a postmark showing that the ballot has been posted no later than the election day.

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Btw Trump’s Twitter has gained 100k’s of followers each day :  /

 

 

How about Biden’s?


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I wonder how we are all going to react if it is actually proven that fraud/corruption took place.... 

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4 minutes ago, b_woo said:

I wonder how we are all going to react if it is actually proven that fraud/corruption took place.... 

I wonder how they will react if there’s nothing at all


Don’t you realize that all of you together are the temple of God and that the Spirit of God lives in you?
1 Corinthians 3:16

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7 minutes ago, Thewritersunion said:

Btw Trump’s Twitter has gained 100k’s of followers each day :  /

 

 

How about Biden’s?

Adolf Twittler is always gaining twitt minions. Nbd


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Cleared out ignore list today. 

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@b_woo

8 minutes ago, b_woo said:

I wonder how we are all going to react if it is actually proven that fraud/corruption took place.... 

   It would be shocking to think any kind of corruption would take place on Biden's side whatsoever...xD

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5 minutes ago, Preety_India said:

Adolf Twittler is always gaining twitt minions. Nbd

xDxDxD


My Youtube Channel- Light on Earth “We dance round in a ring and suppose, but the Secret sits in the middle and knows.”― Robert Frost

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1 minute ago, Danioover9000 said:

@b_woo

   It would be shocking to think any kind of corruption would take place on Biden's side whatsoever...xD

False equivalency is the Maple Syrup that MAGA pours on thier Authoritarian pancakes.


I'm writing a philosophy book! Check it out at : https://7provtruths.org/

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Conspiracy theories running rampant 

???


Don’t you realize that all of you together are the temple of God and that the Spirit of God lives in you?
1 Corinthians 3:16

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2 minutes ago, Danioover9000 said:

@b_woo

   It would be shocking to think any kind of corruption would take place on Biden's side whatsoever...xD

Exactly. There's dodgy shit going down on both sides. I'm just wondering how blind eveyones eye is on here. 

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1 hour ago, Free Mind said:

@Forestluv So basically Biden needs to maintain >.01 margin in NV and AZ, and needs to maintain >.05 in Pennsylvania?

No one wants to call the election if there is a chance of a recount.

In NV, there is no threshold for a state-mandated recount, yet the losing candidate can request a recount. Obviously, Trump would request a recount if he think it will benefit him. 

In AZ, an auto-recount is triggered at a win <0.1%. Losing candidates are not allowed to request a recount. Yet I don't know if the AZ GOP or Trump could force a recount through lawsuits. I'm sure they will try. The larger Biden's lead over 0.1% the harder it would be to force a recount. If Biden's lead is 0.15%, I could see a judge allowing a recount - especially since it could determine the election. I'm not sure what AZ law is, yet this exactly why Trump wanted his scotus judges. Yet I imagine a lead of 0.5%+ would be much harder to get a recount. 

In PA, the auto recount threshold is 0.5%, yet I don't know if that is just for non-provisional ballots or includes provisional ballots.

For the election to be called soon, Biden needs to be outside the recount zone of either; (A) NV and AZ or (B) PA. Yet Trump will do all he can to force recounts, dispute ballots, prevent post-marked ballots from being counted etc. If Biden has a 0.2% lead in AZ and PA goes recount, I see Trump trying to force a recount in AZ in courts. People have been talking for months about how Trump will force lawsuits. His chances of gaining traction go up considerably if there is an auto-recount in AZ or PA (or Trump can convince judges to prevent NV from declaring a winner before a recount). 

Right now, Biden has the narrative momentum - yet NV, AZ, or PA needs to call soon to maintain that momentum. At this point, the process has seemed fair, yet that can change if cracks start opening up for Trump.

1 hour ago, Free Mind said:

@Forestluv 

Could you expand on the lawsuit on mail-in votes? So mail in ballots that arrive after November 3rd will not be counted? I’m confused about this.

By Pennsylvania law, mail in ballots post-marked by Nov. 3rd are eligible, even if they arrive after Nov. 3rd. There is a batch of ballots that are post-marked Nov. 3rd, yet arrived late. These will favor Biden. They are being counted, yet Trump / GOP was successful in getting these ballots put to the side during their lawsuits trying to invalidate these ballots. These votes have not been added to the reported PA numbers. 

It has not been determined whether they will count. Trump's lawsuit is to invalidate them. There hasn't been a decision yet. For now, they have been placed to the side. 

Hopefully Biden won't need these ballots, yet this is the type of thing Dems worried about with the courts. The PA senate is majority republican and the governor and head election official is Democrat - so a split. The last few months, there have been many lawsuits in PA and so far the PA courts have seemed fair - yet I'm disappointed that they didn't throw this case out. Yet I trust the PA supreme court much more than scotus. 

Correction: The PA supreme court upheld the law and said the post-marked, late arriving ballots should be counted and tabulated. The PA republican senate then went to scotus, who said the ballots must be separated and could not be included in the tabulation at this time. PA election officials have said there are about 55k of these ballots

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6 minutes ago, b_woo said:

Exactly. There's dodgy shit going down on both sides. I'm just wondering how blind eveyones eye is on here. 

For so many years, there was never a question mark on the election process in the US. 

And now with Donald Twittler at the helm, suddenly there is a tributary of conspiracy theories from everywhere. Why? Because he can't win the election fairly. So the election must not be fair!! 

Undermining the United States constitutional stability in maintaining and prevailing a free and fair election is nothing but - Fake news. The real fake news, not the one Twittler talks about. 

 


INFJ-T,ptsd,BPD, autism, anger issues

Cleared out ignore list today. 

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10 minutes ago, DocWatts said:

False equivalency is the Maple Syrup that MAGA pours on thier Authoritarian pancakes.

The framing of "Both sides are corrupt" benefits Trump's side since it gives him cover. So far, Biden has had the stronger position and his team is allowing states to do their thing. Trump's team is the one trying to stop counting in one state, continue counting in another state - invalidate a ballot type in one state, yet have the same ballot type be valid in another state etc. 

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4 minutes ago, Consept said:

you must get bored, how many accounts have you burned through xD

Sorry to disappoint you @Consept but this is my first and only account on here. Are my statements or questions implying otherwise? 

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Making claims of false equivalency between the two sides only serves to empower the pro-fascist MAGA Cult. Anyone who's not able to make a clear distinction between someone who's pretty par for the course in American politics, and someone who's intentionally steering the country into an iceberg to serve his own selfish agenda is obviously arguing in Bad Faith, and has most likely has been indoctrinated into a Cult of personality.

Don't waste your time arguing with these people, and let the mods hit them with a Ban Hammer if they continue to spread misinformation.

Edited by DocWatts

I'm writing a philosophy book! Check it out at : https://7provtruths.org/

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Trump has fired up the crazies!!!


Don’t you realize that all of you together are the temple of God and that the Spirit of God lives in you?
1 Corinthians 3:16

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@b_woo Is safe. Their speech is different and they’re not as aggressive and gas lighting as the troll we had earlier today/yesterday 


 You have been gifted the Golden Kappa~! 

 

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Trump is asking to stop counting votes in a democracy, it's happening now, but some guys here putting the focus anywhere else, like look how the other side is corrupt as well, look what Obama did or what Hillary said, of course, blaming how biased others are. Look guys, it sucks when the one you like doesn't win, or the one that you dislike wins. But if you want to set the precedent of not counting votes, candidates not conceding when losing, that goes against the most fundamental principals of democracy.

There's something awful going on now and Trump is the responsible. Biden has not said anything out of tone since the election, that's the truth. Swallow your own bias for once and acknoledge what's happening, instead of gaslighting towards other topics.  People have voted, votes have to be counted, then we see who leads for the next 4 years. Spoilers: Biden.

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