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Kuba Powiertowski

Remember Black Swans

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In the intellectual models we create about this dimension, it is good to remember the black swan principle. If you build your theory, your worldview on the assumption that it explains the existence of all white swans and leaves a loophole for the possibility of black swans, about which at least for now, you have nothing to say - you use your intellect wisely. Nevertheless, if in your initial assumption, you stated the existence of only white swans, giving no chance for the appearance of black ones - be careful. One Black Swan may be enough to reduce your theory, your worldview, to a temporary cloud of dust.

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