Leo's Blog Discussion Mega-Thread

[Thought Art]

If only Trump didn’t take over from Obama’s economy… 

Well, Trump may win. It’s gonna be messy. 

[Ash55]

1 hour ago, Thought Art said:

I disagree with Leo’s election prediction. 

I too i think Kamala will win just barely, I hope leo is wrong on his prediction lol
 

[Leo Gura]

The electoral map is not in Kamala's favor. If she loses one major Rust Belt state, she basically loses.

I have a hard time believing she will win every Rust Belt state. She basically needs to win 4 coin flips in a row.

I hope I'm wrong.

Edited October 26 by Leo Gura

[lostingenosmaze]

https://www.actualized.org/insights/2024-election-prediction

Funnily enough, Owen Cook also thinks Trump's gonna win the election:

 

[enchanted]

Maybe lots of women will secretly vote for Harris. 

[Socrates]

@lostingenosmaze I watched that the other day, it is so underwhelming seeing Owen being so clueless about politics.

The bottom line is if you dont have a model to understand politics aimed to progress a nation, you will dumb it down to social skills as the major skill to be a politician like Owen does.

People need an explicit understanding of systems, tools, and institutions and less airy fairy stuff, this was painful to watch.

[Leo Gura]

3 minutes ago, enchanted said:

Maybe lots of women will secretly vote for Harris. 

That would have been the case with Hillary, but it wasn't.

Edited October 26 by Leo Gura

[Thought Art]

@Leo Gura Huh, she seems like she’d actually be a decent president. Let the shit show begin I’d trump gets elected. 

[Thought Art]

So, people really vote on feeling and personality hey?

[Thought Art]

@Leo Gura 

Is someone like Trump the strongest person on earth?

[Davino]

1 hour ago, Thought Art said:

So, people really vote on feeling and personality hey?

Tall, attractive, and charismatic men are disproportionately represented in positions of power.

How many short, ugly and stutterer CEOs are out there? 

Why is that?

[Thought Art]

@Davino Hmm, personality matters. That’s really the value of people like Trump and Musk. 

[Leo Gura]

1 hour ago, Thought Art said:

@Leo Gura 

Is someone like Trump the strongest person on earth?

Huh? Trump is an embarassment to mankind.

Edited October 26 by Leo Gura

[Jayson G]

7 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

Huh? Trump is an embarassment to mankind.

@Leo Gura do you know why everywhere I look on social media there is only support for Trump? Owen cook's comments, and even Eminem showed his support for Kamala harris and the whole internet is only talking about trump in Eminem's comments. 

I'm just trying to make sense of this.

[Leo Gura]

2 minutes ago, Jayson G said:

@Leo Gura do you know why everywhere I look on social media there is only support for Trump? Owen cook's comments, and even Eminem showed his support for Kamala harris and the whole internet is only talking about trump in Eminem's comments. 

I'm just trying to make sense of this.

Be careful with internet echochambers. They don't reflect reality. They a simulacra.

[Jayson G]

2 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

Be careful with internet echochambers. They don't reflect reality. They a simulacra.

@Leo Gura I try not to let it affect my inner reality, but don't they represent a good portion of societal thinking and societal reality, sort of?

[Leo Gura]

2 minutes ago, Jayson G said:

they represent a good portion of societal thinking and societal reality, sort of?

No!

Stop consuming garbage. Go read a book.

I read 30 books in the last 6 months. That's where the gold is found. Social media is a swamp of shit.

Edited October 26 by Leo Gura

[Buck Edwards]

1 hour ago, Davino said:

Tall, attractive, and charismatic men are disproportionately represented in positions of power.

How many short, ugly and stutterer CEOs are out there? 

Why is that?

Cheap talk and excessive communication no matter how trashy creates an image of friendliness. I don't see a lot of intelligent people in powerful positions. Intelligent ones are generally quiet. People are charmed by a compulsive talker even if he talks rubbish. The next is drama and stimulation. People like drama. A dull person cannot hold the attention of masses. People like Trump are familiar with entertainment and can generate drama that the lowest common denominator feeds on. There is a need to directly rile up people's emotions by fear mongering or sympathizing their hopes, this is the opium. You feed people with rubbish talk and drama so they are engaged like little children. That's why Hitler was popular. He emphasized people's hopes. He gave them constant drama. He created friendliness in German people through constant rubbish banter. 

That's the key. 

[Jayson G]

@Leo Gura It's not like I'm only on social media all day. But social media, from my understanding plays a big role in the election votes right and societal thinking? It's currently the most powerful form of media distribution and the influence on society's mind. 

I'm not talking about my own mind. I primarily get my information from books and high quality videos. I'm talking about the minds of mainstream society.

[Yimpa]

5 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

Social media is a swamp of shit.