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Everything posted by Hardkill
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Yeah, they are in the way that malignant narcissists like Trump are for themselves.
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How do you know they aren't lying about the amount and quality of books they've read? Also, neither of them graduated from a college or university. Moreover, have they talked about any high intellectual topics in-depth like Leo has? Have they had intellectual discussions with intellectuals like Sam Harris, Ken Wilbur, Noam Chomsky, Cornel West, or even Jordan Peterson?
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You know, I was worried about him and his whole Forward Party thing that he's got going on. However, it right now doesn't look like they will actually be a spoiler in 2024. According to wikipedia, "'The Forward Party has no plans to run a candidate for President in 2024 and plans on working to elect state and local officials. The party stated they will 'do anything we can to make sure that Donald Trump does not get near the White House.'" Btw, I just realized that there's one more key that Biden would have if he were to run again, which didn't mention before: Contest - There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination. He would definitely have a lock on that one as everyone would totally united him and there would be no in party fighting at all for the Democratic nomination. That means at this point he very likely has at least 8 out the 13 keys working in his favor: Incumbency key - He would be the incumbent presidential candidate if he ran again. No contest key - There would be no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination if Biden runs again. Major policy changes key - The major executive policy changes from the Trump administration. Plus, the surprisingly large number of landmark laws he passed with Congress. Scandal-free term key - So far the Biden administration has not had any real scandals, despite what Republicans say. No foreign/military failure key - Despite the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, it will likely not be a salient issue in 2024. Plus, Biden at least completed the withdrawal from Afghanistan unlike Bush, Obama, or Trump. Foreign/military success key - Assassination of Ayman Al-Zawahiri (Bid Laden's number 2 man and the brains of the 9/11 attacks). Also his relations with NATO and his support for Ukraine in the War has arguably become the greatest military military/foreign policy initiative that any US president has ever had since FDR or Truman in WWII. No Social Unrest key - Despite murders rate and overt racism in the US having been higher than they were before 2020, I don't think we have had any real any kind of serious level of sustained social unrest within the last 2 years. Also, the overall murder rate in the US did dropped significantly in 2022 from what it was in the2020 to 2021. Plus, crime rates overall in the US in 2021 and 2022 weren't anywhere near as high as they were in the 80s or 90s, contrary to the gross exaggerations made from Trump and Republicans about the US being a "cesspool of crime" under Biden and the Democrats. No Challenger charisma key - It really doesn't look like there are going to any Republican candidates running for the GOP presidential nomination who will be able to achieve this key. Allan Lichtman never even gave Trump either of the charisma keys in 2016 or 2020. The reason for this was because even though certainly has some kind of charisma and has always been incredibly popular within the Republican Party, he has never had historic levels of charisma or truly broad appeal like Ronald Reagan or Barack Obama did when they ran for president. Trump has always been too polarizing and his approval rating, never won the popular vote in either 2016 or 2020, and according to the polling averages his approval rating has never been at or above 50%. More of the general public as a whole hate Trump than love him. Ron DeSantis has even less appeal than Trump. He really doesn't have much charisma because of how boring and uninspiring he is. Other than Trump or DeSantis, there aren't any other Republicans out there now who are seen as being potentially strong presidential candidates.
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Running a sex business is definitely creepy and disgusting. I even find the idea of paying a prostitute for sex also really creepy and disgusting. Another reason I don't want to pay any woman for sex is because I want to know that any woman I have sex with is genuinely attracted to me or loves me.
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Yeah, I just watched some recent vids of Allan Lichtman being interviewed by his son on his son's YT channel called Today's History w/ Allan Lichtman. In those vids the Historian has said that believes that Biden so far does have all of those 7 out of 13 keys. Hopefully the War in Ukraine does not turn into some of nuclear war. I think that Biden has a chance to gain the long-term economy, given that the GDP of the US economy has already grown by 6.7%-6.9% within just the first 2 years of Biden's presidency. the GDP of the US economy grew by 5.7%-5.9% during his first year as president, which was already an historic amount. Hopefully, we also don't have a recession by the end of this year or next year as well. I also really hope that the progressive Dems or some other large faction of Dems don't end up creating a third-party spoiler in 2024 like what happened with Ralph Nader in 2000 or like Jill Stein and many Bernie supporters did in 2016. We also gotta hope that Biden doesn't get impeached, otherwise, that could technically cost him the scandal key.
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Yeah, that's exactly what professor Lichtman has been saying lately. I've been following his material for more than 2 years now. He's really brilliant and has been an amazing predictor of many different kinds of elections. Hopefully, the Democratic leadership will realize this.
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Also, this is what Tristan Tate said to pornstar and male escort, Stirling Cooper, about meeting girls and getting laid: He talks about how having a certain kind of confidence with a bad boy vibe and charm has always been key. Plus, talks about how this one old African dude from his past taught him that you gotta talk to all kinds of you encounter where ever you go if want to get laid with any kind of woman you want. He further talks about how in terms of your overall appearance that your height and have a model face don't matter anywhere near as much as how big, strong, and fit you are and how cool you look overall.
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Tate said that he doesn't do pickup or cold approach probably just to make himself sound like he knows how to get laid better than any of the pickup and dating coaches. He's full of it.
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Yeah, that's true too.
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It's not clear that Blinken or Heinrich actually have the charisma to pull it off until they have been tested in the primaries. Cory Booker, Julian Castro, Kamala Harris, and Tim Ryan were first seen as very promising charismatic top-tier presidential candidates in their prime before they ran in the 2020 Democratic primaries. Yet, they unfortunately all ended up doing very poorly in the primaries and had to drop out relatively early. I was really surprised that none of them made it very far. If someone like Blinken or Heinrich were to run they could become false dawns in the primaries. In fact, almost every candidate throughout US history that has ever run for president and who at first seemed very promising end up having very disappointing results in the primaries. Don't count on their being any decent Republicans running in the Republican primaries. It will either be Trump or DeSantis or some other right-wing extremist monster out there who will become the 2024 Republican nominee. The Republican party as a whole has not shown any signs of shifting back to the center or having any moral principles. In fact, the GOP is only getting worse and worse. Let's not forget all of the kinds of greedy, racist, and disgraced Republicans we've ever had starting all the way back in 1968 to the present time.
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We can't have a Democrat run to the far-left like Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren. Progressives can't win a general election. Even James Carville said that the candidates in the 2019 and 2020 for the Democratic Primaries back then were not great because almost all of them were trying too much to be like Sanders or Warren with their campaigns and most of them had too much of a "wokeness" vibe. Plus, none of them stood out as being particularly charismatic like Bill Clinton or Barack Obama. At least Biden would for sure have the advantage of being the incumbent he runs again. Whereas, there's no guarantee that any of the younger Democratic politicians out there would be popular or charismatic enough to have a chance of winning or even uniting all of the conservatives and moderate wings of Democratic voters with the liberals and progressives wings of Democratic voters. In fact, if Biden doesn't run then we could either end up with having a nominee like Hillary Clinton in 2016 who wasn't good enough to defeat Trump or an unelectable radical left nominee like George McGovern, a Democrat, who suffer a catastrophic against Nixon, a Republican in the 1972 presidential election. Jimmy Carter, A Democrat, also disastrously lost to Reagan, another Republican, in the 1980 presidential election partly because in some ways he was too soft and too liberal. Plus, he didn't have much charisma and he didn't accomplish much along with having presided over a really bad economy. Then, in the 1984 presidential election, Walter Mondale, another Democrat, himself got annihilated by Reagan as well because he too went too far to the left as and lacked charisma. Afterwards, in the 1988 presidential election, Michael Dukakis, another Democrat, lost terribly to George H.W. Bush, another Republican who was Reagan's VP. Dukakis was also perceived as being too liberal and had no charisma either. That's why by 1992, Bill Clinton knew that in order to win he had to be a pragmatic moderate Democrat by shifting further to the right or to the center in order to become much more electable. Plus, even though H.W. Bush was held responsible for presiding over a somewhat bad economy by the end of his presidency, Clinton also had the looks and definitely turned out to be charismatic, all of which allowed him to win the 1992 presidential election. He got re-elected again because of his looks, charisma, stayed as very centrist Democrat, and had the fortune of presiding over a great booming economy throughout the rest of the 90s. That's why the rest of the Democratic party as a whole follow suit by also becoming neoliberal moderate Democrats. Obama shift the Democratic party more to the left by around 2008 to 2009 and onwards, but even he knew that he and the Democratic still needed to be moderate neoliberal Democrats to win elections.
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Roy has a very valid point. I do think that apps are okay to use, but they definitely should not be the main way to meet and date girls. Cold and warm approaching as well as social circle should be every guy’s primary ways of meeting and dating girls. Online dating and dating apps should only be used as a supplement to your dating and sex life.
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A spy balloon from China was found yesterday to be floating over Billings, Montana and then the balloon travelled eastward down to the Carolinas. The balloon finally got shot down after the US fighter jets were authorized by the Biden administration to take it down. Consequently, Secretary of State Antony Blinken postponed his trip to Beijing and stated that what China did was irresponsible. They say this has now made our relations with China even worse. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/03/us-secretary-of-state-blinken-postpones-high-stakes-trip-to-china-after-us-discovers-suspected-spy-balloon-.html Furthermore, a US Air Force General named, Mike Minihan, stated in a memo yesterday that his instinct is that we will be going to war with China in 2025. https://thehill.com/policy/defense/3840337-generals-memo-spurs-debate-could-china-invade-taiwan-by-2025/
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The January 2023 jobs report just came out today and not only did the USA make a very shocking net gain of 517,000 jobs last month, but also the unemployment rate now dropped down to 3.4%! America has never had its nationwide unemployment rate go down to exactly 3.4% or lower since since the last few months of 1968 to the first few months of 1969! We're now talking about going all the way back to either the last few months of Lyndon B. Johnson's presidency (Sept. 1968 to Jan. 1969) or the first few months of Nixon's presidency (Jan. 1969 to May 1969)! Moreover, even if you went further back in time, the unemployment rate in the US was never as low as 3.4% from the years 1954 to 1967! The last period of time the US unemployment rate ever went below 3.4% was from 1951 to 1953. That was when the last 3 years of Harry Truman's presidency and the first year of Eisenhower's presidency occurred! That means Biden beat presidents Ford, Carter, Reagan, H.W. Bush., Clinton, W. Bush, Obama, and Trump for having the lowest unemployment rate record over the past 54 years! https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE Btw, wage and salary gains for employees around the country have still been very robust. Yet, at the same time, high wage and salary inflation and high compensation cost inflation have all continued to cool down at a significant rate in recent months, which is still good news for the Fed needing to tamp down the high inflation problem we still have in our country. Plus, the Biden administration had now presided over the creation of approx. 800,000 manufacturing jobs within just the first 2 years of Biden's presidency! Now, the total number of people in America with manufacturing jobs has undoubtedly been the highest it has ever been since November 2008! https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MANEMP https://www.commerce.gov/news/blog/2023/02/news-unemployment-its-lowest-level-54-years#:~:text=Today%2C the U.S. Department of,in the last two years. when Trump was president he said that in manufacturing "I brought back 700,000 jobs. (Obama and Biden) brought back nothing." That of course was a major overstatement. He actually presided over about 450,000 manufacturing jobs prior to the pandemic during his first 3 years of his presidency. This was of course before he ended his presidency with having presided over a major net loss of all kinds of jobs throughout the entire country. Trump has probably become the first president in the US since Herbert Hoover in 1933, that left office with less jobs occurring in America than there were at the beginning of his presidency. Obama, in actuality, presided over the creation of about 916,000 manufacturing jobs by the end of his presidency in 2017, and that was right after the devastating effects of the 2008 financial crisis recession peaked around 2009-2010. https://www.statesman.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/01/fact-check-did-trump-overstate-manufacturing-job-gains-during-debate/114197350/ So much for all of Trump's talk about him being able to bring manufacturing jobs back to America like never before. Hahaha!
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Yeah, I don’t see why the Chinese didn’t think of camouflaging their balloon in the sky.
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I wonder why there hasn't been a nationwide movement for universal health care to a degree similar to that of the civil rights movement or the early 20th century progressive era?
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The myth of ha Having to wait too long for your doctor's appointment in Canada is largely a myth. The videos I posted up above explain it. I live in the US with my parents and my parents would have to wait weeks if not months to see a specialist. Overall, Canadians spend about half of what Americans spend on health care and have longer life expectancy and lower infant mortality rates. America is undeniably the richest country in the world, so we have more than enough resources to have both just like Canada, Australia, and every 1st world country in Europe does.
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Thanks @Sincerity So now, is there anyway for the US and China to engage in any kind of detente?
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Sorry, I posted this in the wrong section. Could someone please delete this thread?
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Yeah, Jocko does definitely seem to be much more of a reasonable person than David Goggins is. Though, I still greatly applaud Goggins for everything he has accomplished. Like Jocko, he's a true warrior. I wish I had the level of willpower those guys have.
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And you're willing to believe the arguments made by conservatives on single-payer system. You know that practically every conservatives in America lies many times more than moderates and liberals do about every single kind of issue. Not to mention, what good ideas on healthcare reform do Republicans and conservatives in America have in mind instead of single payer or instead of any kind of universal healthcare system? Oh yeah, that's right, they want to actually eliminate Social Security (including Medicare and Medicaid), and the PPACA. They also want to cut as much spending as possible on any kind of subsidies for the poor and minorities. Here are some good clips that have debunked the negative myths associated with a single-payer system: Also, I am not saying that single-payer is the only way forward for our country's healthcare industry, but why not have it along with allowing private health insurances to exist in America? The US already has a single payer system for those 65 years old and older and Canada has both a single-payer system and private health insurance companies. That could also work too.
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Day game is definitely strange considering the fact that most people don't do it, especially in these modern times. It also can come off as being really try hard and weird if you are seen doing mass approaches. It's also one of the most challenging forms of game. However, to say that Day Game or even Night Game is "for children" is ridiculous. Ironically, I am sure that he has actually done a lot of cold approaching during the day time and night time to find and recruit many vulnerable young girls for sex work. Locario and Miles gave a great analysis on the things Tate has been right on and many of the things that he has been wrong on. It's like the more you dig deep into who Tate is the more you realize how everything he has said and does is really just a facade.
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So, how did Canada get their single payer system implemented?
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hmmm....then may be I should buy some comfortable and not so heavy bulletproof vests and a bullet proof helmet. If I had ninja stars, then I would use my Demon Wind Shuriken technique on all of the baddies!
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You have a point. I honestly, don't like the idea of anyone owning a gun, except for the military, police, and possibly security guards at banks, schools, and workplaces. I am certainly not stupid not enough to be a part of any riot anywhere. I also don't plan on ever running for any kind of political office. But what if I was working at a school or some other kind of workplace and some psycho shooter randomly shows up at whatever place I happen to be working at, but I don't have a gun with me? How will I best be able to protect myself and other innocent people near me? Or what if I live in some dangerous neighborhood that has dangerous criminals or gangs near where I live? The best solution in that case would of course be to move to another neighborhood that's much safer, but moving to another area isn't always a viable strategy and how can anybody ever know for sure what's a truly safe area to live in?