Hardkill

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Everything posted by Hardkill

  1. I hope you're right. However, it's still mind blowing how many undecided people who watched that debate were still undecided. As pessimistic as this may sound, my dad says that he think thats those people who watched the debate and are still having trouble deciding between a psychotic evil old bastard and an inspiring colored woman in her prime who is so eminently qualified for the job of the presidency, means that they probably are still too racist, too sexist, and too backwards to vote for her. I hope my dad is proven wrong.
  2. If it doesn't move a significant amount of likely voters, then I wouldn't be surprised. Debates have very, very rarely made any difference in the outcome of any presidential election. Biden dropping out after his poor debate performance was an anomaly in US History.
  3. That’s also what I was alluding to.
  4. That’s valid point. Harris did fantastic last night, but I am somewhat disappointed that she didn’t get way more than 63% of people who watched it to think that she won the debate according to the CNN poll. When Hillary Clinton won her first debate against Trump in 2016, she also convinced about 63% of voters who watched it to think that she won that debate according to a CNN poll back then. Trump back then wasn’t nearly as bad at debating as he has been this time around.
  5. Even though I've been finding TYT to be more and more obnoxious Cenk did make a very important point here in this vid about how conservative media for decades has been working the referee by accusing mainstream media of liberal bias. Moreover, this strategy has successfully led to mainstream outlets giving undue attention to misinformation and conspiracy theories: The Majority Report did a job of pointing out how much Megyn Kelly gaslit her viewers on why Trump lost the Trump debate:
  6. May he rest in peace. He was a uniquely talented actor.
  7. A (former) prosecutor vs a criminal
  8. Can you imagine how much worse he would've done without a muted microphone?
  9. Harris destroyed Trump in that debate!
  10. The Fairness Doctrine used to enforce diverse views point on every news channel and on every political outlet before it got repealed in the late 1980s. It also prevented the emergence of political media echo chambers or epistemic bubbles. I wish the government could somehow bring some version of that back.
  11. Well, this is very depressing. One of my greatest fears is that the people and the government may not be able to stop the rich and big corporations from taking over our entire country before it's too late. I mean I don't think that's going to happen, but the possibility of that happening just went up a lot in my mind now.
  12. Campaign finance reform has been a mainstream issue for decades, with various efforts and proposals aimed at addressing the influence of money in politics. Yet, I don't see any real progress having been made on this issue at all, even after Bernie Sanders and the progressive movement began to rise to prominence in 2016. Also, what happened to Wolf-PAC?
  13. So, then what has been the point of Wolf-Pac and all of this big talk about how we need to get money out politics?
  14. To be clear, he didn't say back then that Biden would absolutely win. He said that a lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose if he stayed in the race and that Biden staying in the race would've guaranteed Democrats both party unity advantage and incumbency advantage. He also was very worried that Democrats would end up making the same mistake they made in 2016, whereby they had no incumbency advantage and lost the no-contest key because of how Bernie Sanders bloody fight with Hillary Clinton weakened and divided the Democratic party. Luckily, the Democrats learned from that mistake by uniting strongly behind Harris. Also, what about the fact that Cenk wrongly predicted in 2020 that Bernie would win the Democratic nomination? What about the fact that he and Ana also wrongly predicted that the Democrats would be annihilated in the 2022 midterms just a few weeks out? Here is Cenk going off on Election Day for the 2022 midterm, yelling about how the Dems totally blew it and ruined their chances in the midterms:
  15. The 2000 presidential election was widely disputed. Lichtman, in fact, proved to the US Commission on Civil Rights in his report that racial voter suppression in Florida, notably by officials such as Governor Jeb Bush at the time, impacted the outcome. Additionally, it's important to remember that the controversial decision by the Supreme Court prevented a complete recount, which would have shown Al Gore winning Florida by a thin margin. https://www.usccr.gov/files/pubs/vote2000/report/appendix/app10.htm You know, Lichtman has been frequently asked by international observers whether his system's applicability extends beyond the US. Unfortunately, he says that his system is not readily applicable in other representative democracies. This is due to differences in election systems and each country's unique political history, which diverge significantly from that of the US. I mean, It's definitely possible to tweak Lichtman's 13 keys system to work for other Western countries. For example, if you want it to work in the UK, you could get some top UK history and political science experts to modify it in a way that would accurately predict the outcomes of every UK parliamentary general election.
  16. A lot of undecided voters these days seem to be very disappointed by the fact that candidates these days talk less about policy and substance than they used to.
  17. What do you think about members of the squad like Jamaal Bowman and Cori Bush having lost their seats in Congress to more moderate Democrats? You think this is a sign that progressivism has been losing some of its steam?
  18. Yeah, I kinda thought that. So, what you’be been saying throughout this entire thread is that there are many degrees of progressivism or leftism. On a scale from least to most left-wing/progressive and from most pragmatic to most idealistic: Pod Save America, BTC, More perfect Union, Meidas Touch, Destiny, IRI, PoliticsGirl, and others like them are the least left-wing or the most pragmatic group of progressives. TYT, Secular Talk, Majority Report, the Humanist Report, Krystal Ball, Vaush, Michael Moore, and others like them are more left-wing and less pragmatic than the above first group. Hasan, Jill Stein, Cornel West, Rashida Tlaib, that InfraHaz guy, communists/socialists, and others like them are the most left-wing and the least pragmatic group of left-wingers.
  19. Alright, well I hope so. I just wish that they were less hyperbolic, sounded more hopeful, and were more pragmatic, like Pod Save America, BTC, More Perfect Union, or Meidas Touch.
  20. Well, do you think that TYT has been helping progressives/liberals and Democrats win the messaging war against MAGA, the corrupt conservatives, and corrupt neoliberal Democrats?
  21. Yeah, I do believe that Cenk's political stances aren't far left. Marxism is indeed too far to the left. But does Cenk have to come off as a blowhard who sounds so extreme a lot of times?
  22. Btw, he claimed in that video that he considers himself to be center-left. He also said in an interview he did with PBD that he’s a mainstream progressive and doesn’t agree with radical leftists who are for open borders, defunding the police, obsession with woke terms, toxic left-wing culture war messages, etc. Do you buy that?
  23. what do you believe TYT has accomplished? Do you think that they have been winning in the messaging war against MAGA, the corrupt conservatives, and corrupt neoliberal Democrats?
  24. Age and wrinkles: The 13 keys system worked in 1980 when Reagan won that election at the age of 69 years, which back then became the record for the oldest elected US president ever. It worked again in 1984 when broke the record for the oldest elected president again after winning re-election in a truly historic landslide at the age of 73 years, despite serious concerns about his memory and the fact that most people back then thought he was too old to be president again. The 13 keys system worked again in 2016, when Trump broke the record for being back then the oldest elected president at age 70. It worked again in 2020, when Biden broke the record for the oldest elected US president ever at the age of 77 and got inaugurated into office at the age of 78 years. Before he won the election, numerous people around the country were of coures very worried about Biden's age and mental faculties. When Biden turns 82 year old in a couple of months, he will undoubtedly be the very first octogenarian sitting president in US History. Skin Color: The keys worked for 2008 when Obama became the very first African-American ever in US History to be elected president. They worked again in 2012 when he became the very first African-American ever to be re-elected president. Body Shape: The keys worked in 1908 when Taft became the most obese and the most rotund man to be elected president ever in US History. He was 5 feet 11 inches (1.80 m) tall and his weight was between 325 pounds (147 kg) and 280 pounds (130 kg) toward the end of his presidency. Lincoln, was in appearance arguably the lankiest US president ever. Coolidge was the president with the lowest recorded weight not just since 1860, he held the distinction of being the lightest US President ever at 148 lbs. Height: The keys worked in 1888, when Benjamin Harrison became the shortest person since 1860 to be elected president at 5'6". James Madison was actually the shortest president ever in US History at 5'4" during the early 1800s. Abe Lincoln was the tallest elected president not just since 1860 but the tallest elected US president ever. Religion: The keys certainly worked in 1960, when JFK jr. became the very first Catholic ever elected US president. Biden became the 2nd Catholic in US history to be elected president.