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Everything posted by Hardkill
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Yeah, that's actually what I was pretty much thinking. So, you don't think the recent riot in Philadelphia, with the tragic shooting and death of Walter Wallace Jr. will really hurt Biden's chance of winning Pennsylvania?
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So, how likely do you think that Biden will win Pennsylvania now?
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So, is there a way to know if any votes have been dumped without counted, how many turned where disqualified fraudulently or abused regulations now, and how many have become the object of other kinds of legal challenges?
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So, then how did Obama in 2008 end up winning 365 electoral votes when he had less of a lead back then than Biden does now in the polls (Biden will also probably win the popular vote by a much greater margin than Obama did back then)? What about in 2012 when Obama won 332 electoral votes, but ended up only leading the polling average by about 1 point over Romney back then whereas Biden has consistently shown to have the largest polling average lead ever since the very beginning of the existence of scientific polls for elections, which was 1936? Was it Obama's charisma that had him defy the polls that much? I am not sure that I totally buy that. Maybe, I am wrong. Though, I am unclear as to what I am saying here would be incorrect.
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I like that call.
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It doesn't look a toss-up anymore. Biden is very likely gonna win it.
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Wait, I thought that you previously said last week that you were predicting a Biden landslide. Furthermore, how did Obama in 2008 end up winning 365 electoral votes when he had less of a lead back then than Biden does now in the polls (Biden will also probably win the popular vote by a much greater margin than Obama did back then)? What about in 2012 when Obama won 332 electoral votes, but ended up only leading the polling average by about 1 point over Romney back then whereas Biden has consistently shown to have the largest polling average lead ever since the very beginning of the existence of scientific polls for elections, which was 1936? Also, what is considered the minimum number of total electoral votes needed to get a landslide?
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Now, how much do you guys think that the possible interference from Russia or Iran in this election will negatively affect Biden's chances of winning?
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If Biden loses because of SCOTUS then I don't know how I am going to deal with its traumatic consequences.
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Well, he better not screw up Biden's chances of winning. Yeah, Kanye gave such a totally vague response about how he would deal with foreign matters like the one Joe Rogan just proposed. Even his campaign ads are filled with only platitudes with absolutely nothing about how he proposes to improve our country.
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Do you think that Kanye will negatively affect Biden's chance of winning?
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Yeah, those are all good signs. Btw, there is this American professor of American history, named Allan Litchman, who has successfully predicted all the official winners of presidential elections from 1984 to now, except for 2000 (because the Supreme Court ultimately ruled in favor of Bush over the Florida recount situation, which) and successfully predicted all of the winners of the popular vote of each presidential elections (except for the last election when Hillary won the popular vote). For the 2016 election, he correctly predicted that Trump would win the electoral college and thereby become our current president. The model he has used to predict both the electoral college winners and popular vote winners for each US presidential election is called the 13 keys system. Now, he predicts that Trump will lose the electoral college because Trump is the primary individual to be blamed for the terrible handling of both the COVID pandemic and the social/political unrest within the entire country. He explains that his exceptional level of self-absorption and the terrible decisions he has made for managing all of the crises that have been going on in the US for several months now have not only caused the entire US economy to tank, but also have caused such terrible divisiveness and rage within our entire country. Hence, believes that Biden will win the White House. However, professor Litchman says that his predict has a chance of turning to be false if Trump wins by stealing the election through either voter suppression (which is pretty much what happened with the 2000 presidential election) or by the Russian Interference (which arguably had a negative major impact on the last presidential election). Here's the link for a Livestream vid on Youtube which was done live on October 20 where the interviewer asked Litchman about his prediction model and why he still predicts that Trump will lose, unless too much voter suppression or too much Russian Interference happens. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=amSxPiP9TEA&t=476s Here's another vid about the 13 keys model and why it predicts a Biden win: So, do you think that now all of the solid conservatives justices, including ACB, will overturn all of the voting rights throughout the entire country for all mail-in ballots or early voting? Do you think that the Supreme Court Justices and many of the lower court judges will end up denying or rejecting all of the mail-in ballot votes that were ever made throughout the whole country?
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So, now how much will voter suppression do you guys think will happen in this election, especially now That ACB as of today will become the new US Supreme Court Justice?
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Hey guys, here's the link for the 2nd/final 2020 Presidential Debate between Biden and Trump: It will start in about a half-hour. Btw, in case you didn't know, both of the candidates will have their mics muted during portions of this debate. Let me know what your reactions, thoughts, feelings, etc. are about it all.
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Yeah, that's what Leo was saying. However, these undecided voters do sound like they have been following politics. I heard one of them talk about Biden being against TPP and other issues that have been on the news for a long time. Am I wrong?
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Btw guys, how likely is it that Kanye West's run for president will affect Biden's chances of winning?
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Well, then it's like why don't the rest of the undecided voters throughout the whole country think this way too?
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You mean because if he did suffer a really bout of sickness like Johnson throughout the rest of the month of October and lost the election, then his supporters will then be like "Man, Trump lost because he didn't get the chance to finish campaigning for himself during the last month before the election. If he didn't get sick, then he really would've won! This is totally unfair!" Yeah? lol
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This is why I wish that Trump was suffering from COVID at least as much as and as long as Prime Minister Boris Johnson did. He absolutely deserves that and more.
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I can't believe that the majority of this group of undecided voters said that they are now leaning towards Trump and that they thought Trump came off more presidential than Biden did during this debate.
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She was not bad. Though, what I don't get is why Trump still wasn't muted enough during this debate.
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Btw, do any of you guys think that voter turnout is going to be greater or lesser than it was in 2016? Will there be a lot more people who want to vote this year for both the presidential and congressional elections compared to the amount who actually voted in 2016?
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This speech was truly inspirational. I really miss him as our active president. I think that this speech had to significantly help Biden in some way.
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I guess the Ralph Smart thread took too much attention away from my thread.