Hardkill

Recently, it seems that Trump has increased his support from minorities, including both black and latino voters, after working very hard on influencing a significant number of them to support and vote for him. For example, Trump pardoned that African-American female criminal justice reform advocate Alice Johnson after she served 21 years in prison. On the other hand, they say that Biden’s average leads with both black and latinos are significantly lower than Clinton’s around this time four years ago. How much do you guys think this matters for Biden? Does he have enough support from minorities?

Yeah, you make a valid point. Though, what about Stantic saying that his lab’s analysis has a significantly larger sample size than any of the opinion polls?

Lmao. This is totally comical.

Oh yeah, Trump has zero morals. I actually sympathize with Hunter. It seems like he has already had his fair share of difficulties with his own life.

Alright, well sounds good to me. Thanks.

I fully agree with the idea of having a socialist/capitalist hybrid system. In my opinion, it is the best system that so far exists in our world. Don't some countries like the UK have that kind of hybrid system too?

Yeah, I am actually anxious to see his result (though I do believe that he will very likely be right).

This may be a stupid question, but do you think that one day in the future there will be ex-convicts out there who will actually have a real chance of winning a future presidential election?

Yeah, that's why I don't like FoxNews at all. However, what about that article I linked underneath the Norpoth vid that discusses the prediction of this data guru/professor Bela Stantic, who also thinks that Trump is going to win again? He said that "his lab’s analysis is more reliable than opinion polling, because it involves a significantly larger sample size." He also says that "people also tend to be more honest when expressing their opinions on social media than when a pollster quizzes them." Furthermore, he said that he finds Biden to be surprisingly more polarizing than Hillary after analyzing the comments on Biden's social media posts. Furthermore, this data guru correctly predicted the 2016 US election, Scott Morrison’s win last year, the Brexit vote, correctly predicted last 7 Melbourne cups, and a number of past major events correctly. This really worries me even more than Norpoth's prediction. Here another website for the same article on Bela Stantic and his 2020 presidential election prediction that I just posted before: https://www.news.com.au/technology/science/us-election-data-guru-bela-stantic-reveals-donald-trump-is-on-track-to-win-again/news-story/cc04c8525c3046c2387092d2cfaafa38

Yeah, I didn't get why he did not include polls in his "model." However, he seems confident that he is right because he has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996. He further claims that his model, which he curated in 1996, would have correctly predicted the outcome for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/us-election-data-guru-bela-stantic-says-donald-trump-on-track-to-win-again/5PZYFOQKCSBAOUAO6NXNSLP4UY/ I just found these sources and they now really worry me.

Yeah, it's now looking like Biden has a 90-95% chance of winning decisively if not winning in a landslide. Even the guy in the vid I posted on here says that he's guessing that Biden will win because neither candidate so far has been exceptionally charismatic nor have been able to persuasively convince enough undecided voters on how they have or will be able to effectively help manage or help solve the terrible current events going on within the entire country. Due to that reason along with the fact that so many people out there feel like they have been suffering so greatly under Trump's watch, is why Charlie in this posted vid so far predicts that Biden will win. However, he said that that is his prediction for now because he still believes that Trump could still turn it around by improving his campaign strategy and charisma performance by applying techniques like the ones he talks about in the above vid.

What do you guys think?

But girls thoughts and emotions change like the wind. So, in the future, he can try again.

Then, have u been observer RVATs, Lincoln Project, and so many out there who totally regretted voting for Trump?

Here we go again. The usual line you right-wing conservatives say which is "he/she is a socialist." Most people don't even believe that Biden is a socialist.

Yeah, I am with you. Even though I do agree that it is very likely (~90% probability) if not extremely likely (~95%) that Trump will lose, I still feel like too afraid to believe that Biden will 100% win.

Alright, so that's it then. I guess that means that this entire thread or topic is over, yeah?

Hey guys, what do you think of this TYT video on this guy's prediction on the election?

haha. Yeah, that really is one way to imagine Trump.

lol. He makes fun of people like Biden who were wise enough to frequently wear a mask, and yet not only did Trump himself got himself sick, but also look at how many in the audience are wearing masks of various sizes themselves.

Hey guys, right now both Biden and Trump are speaking in each of their own town hall events at the same time. Let me know what your thoughts are on this. For Biden: https://abcnews.go.com/Live (for some reason the Youtube link for Biden's couldn't be embedded because www.youtube.com does not allow embedding of that video.) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZZzfrapNvo

Sorry to bump this thread, but actually I was wondering if them having had dueling town hall events turned out to be bad for either one of the candidates. According to this NBC article they said that it might have been bad for Biden because more people tend to like watching more of Trump's unpredictability. https://www.kq2.com/content/national/572743191.html

Yeah, that really worries and upsets me, considering that I live in California.