Hardkill

He said that he very possibly might have to add a 14th key in future after conceding that his prediction was wrong. This election was truly unique.

Still has had a much better record of predicting presidential elections compared to any other model or system or poll in US History.

You know that's very difficult to describe. Here's professor Lichtman explanation of it: "Observers have long tried to link various attributes of personality to electoral success: warmth, likability, appearance, trustworthiness, optimism, eloquence, vigor, and even height are said to give one candidate the advantage over another. To some extent, this hodgepodge of personal traits may influence voters. The historical pattern indicates that personality is a significant factor only at an unusually high threshold, and even then, personal appeal never has overcome the separate verdict of the political and performance keys." The Republican and Democratic parties have jointly produced only seven exceptionally charismatic presidential candidates since 1860: James G. Blaine (1884) William Jennings Bryan (1896 and 1900) Theodore Roosevelt (1904) Franklin D. Roosevelt (1932 to 1944) John F. Kennedy (1960) Ronald Reagan (1980 and 1984) Barack Obama in 2008. Additionally, there have been only two clearly exceptionally heroic nominees, both of whom attained this stature through vital leadership in war: Ulysses S. Grant (1868 and 1872) Dwight David Eisenhower (1952 and 1956) These nine nominees truly transcended party lines with their broad appeal. Each of them successfully converted an unusually large percentage of individuals from opposing parties/ideologies into supporters for their respective eras. Additionally, they won over a remarkably high percentage of moderate, Independent, and undecided voters for their respective eras. Bill Clinton (1992 and 1996) was certainly charismatic during his time and Donald Trump (2016, 2020, and 2024) is too, but their appeal never reached beyond their own party bases.

Nobody knows who really are strong appealing candidates until they've been tested in the white heat of the primaries. Many Republican leaders thought that Ron DeSantis would be a very promising strong candidate for president, but in the end he failed miserably. Plenty of other examples of this having happened if you look at US History.

The part I am truly terrified by is ".....Unless all hell breaks loose imperialist style."

The United States of America has essentially turned into the Orwellian States of America:

Most people these days now listen to fake news and believe that the fake news is real news. Yes, Biden probably made the mistake of not dropping out a year earlier than he did, but he governed extraordinarily well, even arguably better than Obama did, and is a truly honorable man. Yet, sadly in the eyes of the majority, he could do no right no matter what he did. Biden's legacy will likely be tarnished unjustly probably even more so than Truman's legacy was:

Even though most of the voting demographics throughout the country shifted towards Trump in this election, one peculiar thing I noticed was that Kamala Harris actually got about the same percentage of the white vote as Biden did in 2020. Look at the voter demographics for this election according to the Edison Research exit poll for the 2020 presidential election in this Wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics Now, look at the voter demographics for this election according to the Edison Research exit poll for the 2024 presidential election in this Wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics Even AP News showed the same percentage of the white vote she got: https://apnews.com/article/election-harris-trump-women-latinos-black-voters-0f3fbda3362f3dcfe41aa6b858f22d12 CNN's further breakdown of that same Edison Research poll for 2024 actually shows that she got the same percentage of the white male vote as Biden did in 2020 and a higher percentage of the white female vote throughout the whole country than Biden did in 2020: https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2024/politics/2020-2016-exit-polls-2024-dg/ Interestingly, the 2024 Edison Research poll revealed that Harris tied Trump among white voters aged 18-29, a feat even Biden didn't achieve in 2020! In fact, Harris is the first Democratic presidential nominee since either 1964, 1978, or 1996 to match or surpass her Republican opponent's percentage among this demographic, except for Obama in 2008! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics Finally, what's even more interesting is both the 2024 Edison Research and AP VoteCast polls revealed that Harris tied Trump among voters 65 and older, a rare feat for a Democratic presidential nominee, considering old people or senior citizens tend to be more conservative, nationalistic, racist and xenophobic than younger generations of Americans. Since the early 1960s, Lyndon Johnson (1964) and Bill Clinton (1992) were the only Democratic presidential nominees before Harris to achieve that feat. This disparity highlights the significant age-related divide in American politics, with younger voters overwhelmingly supporting Democratic candidates, while older voters, particularly those 65 and above, consistently lean Republican. It turns out that prime-aged white voters (30-64 years old) or middle-aged white Americans (40-64 years old) became the MOST conservative, nationalistic, racist, and xenophobic voting bloc in the country. Latino voters under 65+ years old became the second most conservative, nationalistic, racist, and xenophobic voting bloc in the country. So, did xenophobia play a larger role than racism or sexism in Harris' loss to Trump?

I am now filled with such incredible fury. I can't even begin to truly describe my raw hate for the god damn conservative movement in America. Yes, I get now that most Americans are afraid of fast liberal/progressive changes. However, I fear that even real centrism is dying! The right-wing terrorism of Trump, MAGA, and corporate tyranny won the battle in 2024. DEMOCRACY IS ESSENTIALLY DEAD! THE TRUE SILENT MAJORITY OF AMERICA IS LOSING THE MESSAGING WAR! So, how can build a nationwide movement against these right-wing terrorist monsters? Would we need to build a massive private militia to support this pro-democracy movement? Any suggestions and thoughts that would seriously contribute to fighting this war are welcome.

You say that one day: But I think that Harris would have defeated Trump and Trumpism if not for the influential right-wing propaganda machine. You know, I thought that Democrats were winning the messaging war before the 2024 election with their build-up of their progressive media ecosystem in recent years, but now I see that I wrongly thought that. Democrats are losing the messaging war so badly! With the Republican Party's growing influence, particularly among working-class voters, and the widespread dissemination of conservative messaging, how can Democrats regain power?

Btw, even Van Jones, who is a well-respected mainstream media commentator from CNN, also said that unprecedented misinformation caused Harris and her party to lose:

Sorry, but that doesn't make sense to me at all. War is sometimes necessary for the survival of oneself and one's country. You can't just focus on developing yourself to save yourself and your people. What would Dr. Martin Luther King do?

So, why the hell isn't there a major civil rights movement for this? What does it take for this to happen?

Yeah, I will meditate a lot more. But the right-wing media needs to be destroyed. Otherwise, we won't have a country anymore.

They stayed home because of the right-wing media disinformation and because of racism, sexism, and xenophobia. Besides, I don't know how to find any of these 14 million Democrats.

Yeah, and I am still seriously considering that too, but I can't just pack my bags and leave this country immediately. It will take me years for that to work out.

Yeah, but what if enough right-wing propaganda out there can override all of that to secure right-wing tyranny permanently no matter what happens under the watch of Trump or Trumpism?

How can we stay calm about this when we can't even have a serious conversation about this matter?

But that's already been tried by countless left-wingers and progressive activists for many years now and apparently that's not working as well as I thought it was or as much as I hoped it would. Brian Tyler Cohen and Dan Pfieffer from Pod Save America said that we are so greatly outgunned by the right-wing media ecosystem that the gap between the progressive media environment and the radical right-wing environment is so enormous. In fact, I fear that the cancerous right-wing media ecosystem will continue to grow non-stop that we may never be able to catch up to it before it's too late. Am I wrong? I am so desperate to figure out and know any viable solution to this. I am honestly so scared that I feel like we really could be living in a Neo-Nazi regime. Jewish people including myself swore that we would never again let ourselves ever be oppressed again. Just like African Americans swore to never be oppressed ever again.

Only a very few amount of Trump supporters in America will listen. Even Leo said recently that no matter what we do or say to people like them they will always bite the hand that feeds them. The only possible ways I think of thatcan stop the radical right-wing monsters from destroying this country are 1. To organize a militant strike group like the Civil Rights movement or an extremely powerful labor movement to hijack and shut down the right-wing media outlets and flood the mainstream media environment with emergency information. 2. Cause widespread civil unrest again like the BLM riots under the watch of Trump again, but make those protests 2x larger and more powerful than they were in 2020. 3. I hate to say this, but we may all need to protect ourselves from a truly intrusive government by taking advantage of our gun rights.

I know all of that, but here's the reality..... We are not going to be able to win ANYMORE big elections in the future as long as we are in this god damn media environment that has been captured by these right-wing terrorists! That's really why we fucking lost big time!!! Look at how much of the vote total fell off from Biden in 2020 to Harris in 2024 not just in the total national popular vote, but within each state. Also, look at how depressed the votes were for each of the down-ballot candidates in each of the races throughout the whole country. I am not saying that there was voter fraud per se, but it was the motherfucking right-wing media out there that convinced too many Americans to stay home because the economy was "bad" and that our country is being "taken over by the feminists, wokists, and immigrants" when none of that BS was true at all! There's been some things lately where I've disagreed with Leo on, but I have to say that he was right..... The majority of Americans have become victim of the Internet/social media brain-rot ideology. 99% of Americans in this country including all of us on this website are doomed unless we fight back these radical right-wing monsters at all costs through civil disobedience!!!! We need to organize some kind of private militia or some kind of very very militant organization to destroy the right-wing media ecosystem at all costs!!! What other choice do we now have besides resigning ourselves to imminent death or oppression?! Well, I've decided that I don't want to die or be oppressed! Can someone tell me why there hasn't been a real large movement like the civil rights movement or the early 1900s progressive era movement?!

No! We can't just wait before it's too late!!!!!

Yeah, MSNBC tells it like it is, unlike those cocksuckers on FOX News, or what that attention whore Megyn Kelly says, and that god damn criminal Alex Jones word vomits. All of these right-wing media monsters need to be imprisoned and need to truly suffer like hell. They pretend like they are all so patriotic about America when they really hate true freedoms for the people! Centrism is now in serious danger of dying too!!!!

We will very likely have a recession by the end of Trump's presidency. I wouldn't be surprised if we have such a severe recession like what happened in the 2008 financial crisis or something like the 1929 Stock market crash which led to the beginning of the Great Depression.

No, if more than 50% of Americans are willing to use their power for horrible things then we would have numbers to fight and win this war. Look man, our country is already doomed so I figure that we have nothing to lose by waging some kind of serious war for our freedoms and a war on corporate greed/tyranny.