Hardkill

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Everything posted by Hardkill

  1. As much as I respect Gavin Newsom myself, he would lose Trump. Millions and millions don't like California and they've made it clear that they don't really trust him because he's comes as either too liberal for them or too much of a greasy car salesman. I worry that the right-wing media has already demonized him too much as "Greasy Gavin," who is an incompetent radical left politician who has done a terrible job of running California, even though I don't really agree with that. I also can imagine all of the right-wing media and even the mainstream media go on and on and on about the whole "French laundry" incident Newsom was involved in that partly contributed to him going through a recall election. Also, he doesn't have a record of immense accomplishments at a national to run on like Biden does or have the exceptional level of gravitas that Biden has. If he becomes the next Democratic nominee for president, then I wouldn't have a problem with that because, because presidential general elections are primarily a referendum on the governance of the party in power. However, nobody knows for certain if even he can make it through the presidential primaries. Let alone, we don't even know for certain if he truly has that exceptional once-in-generation charisma that appeals to the broad spectrum of voters like FDR or Obama in 2008 until he has been fully tested by all of the pressures of the presidential primaries. For all we know, Newsom could turn out to be an even worse presidential candidate than we thought. Many people, especially the Republicans themselves thought that Ron DeSantis would a terrific replacement for Trump as their leader because he would a much younger, more competent, more discipline version of "Trump without the baggage" and has had a great successful record of being a politician. He was supposed to be this promising rising conservative Republican young star in politics. Yet, not only did he lose badly Trump, but even Nikki Hayley did better than him. Kamala Harris and Corey Booker were expected to be very charismatic and strong presidential candidates in the 2020 presidential primaries, but surprisingly did poorly.
  2. He did lay out a number of progressive ideas for the country for a 2nd Biden term when he gave a speech in Detroit, Michigan recently. He will continue to repeat on the campaign trail. Also, Harris, Obama, and everyone of Biden’s surrogates will help sell his vision for the country as the campaign continues to unfold.
  3. Biden has recently put out his bold progressive vision for the country. Also, it looks like there has been a record number of older white voters switching over to Biden. There's been a record number of Republican voters against Trump. Also, what if Obama comes out swinging hard for Biden? Plus, what about the fact that ever since 2018, the Republicans have lost an extraordinary amount of elections because of Trump's right-wing extremism and chaotic vibe? Either way, if study the whole history of US presidential elections going all the way back to 1860, a presidential election is the only kind of elections where campaigns have no predictive value. This is because of the fact that presidential elections always garner the most amount of attention nationwide compare to any other election throughout the whole country. That's why a presidential election is the only race where it's primarily about how well the party in power has governed. Biden must run for re-election in order to maintain both the incumbency advantage and to best maintain the unity of the whole party for the Democratic party's best chances of winning the 2024 presidential election. Without Biden in the race (or him resigning the presidency to Harris ASAP) then Dems will very likely lose to Trump.
  4. I don't see how this would broaden the appeal of Trump's ticket.
  5. I am not sure why he picked Vance. He's not just another white christian man. He's even more of an extreme right-winger than Mike Pence was. Perhaps, because they felt like they needed to make sure they win Ohio for the electoral college and help Sherrod Brown's GOP opponent win for the US Senate race in Ohio. It's also probably because of how much more extreme to the far-right the entire Republican/conservative in the US has gotten.
  6. You know, I am thinking that now that we know that the shooter turned out to be a registered Republican, maybe the people will see more how crazy the whole Republican party has gotten.
  7. Yes, I was referring to Hillary Clinton having won 2.1% more of the popular vote than Trump did in 2016. For the 2000 presidential election, Gore won 0.52% more of the popular vote than Bush did. 2000 was undemocratic because of the staunch conservative SCOTUS who rigged it in favor of Bush and 2016 was undemocratic because of the will of the majority of the people, according to the popular vote, was subverted by such a totally outdated electoral college system.
  8. Guys, both his NATO speech and the way he answered all of the tough questions he was asked were phenomenal! Listen in depth to both the substance and the emotion he put in each of his responses. Even the mainstream media pundits who were critical of Biden's debate performance, were all genuinely impressed by how well he performed in the press conference overall.
  9. No, Trump's first popular vote was still not even close to Hillary Clinton's popular vote. He lost the popular vote by about 3 million in 2016. In the 2000 Bush vs. Gore presidential election, Bush lost the popular vote by about 500,000 votes, even though he officially won the electoral college by a razor thin margin and became president. Then again, the right-wing SCOTUS at the time really stole that election for Bush by not allowing a true full recount in Florida. In any case, 2000 was a presidential election that you can definitely say was a close call. Not 2016.
  10. Yeah, but Trump lost the popular vote twice by a lot to establishment Democrats. Also, MTG, Sanders, and AOC still don't represent the majority of Americans because they either are too far right or come off as too far left. None of them would be able to win in a swing area or in a more moderate district or state.
  11. I keep hearing from a number of commentators out there who say that people in America have become populists since the last decade because the people are tired of the status quo and the establishment. Do, you think that most voters in America really are now populists who want a populist leader to run the country or is that still not necessarily true?
  12. So, then they have no real morals then because they themselves are really incredibly selfish people. If Trump becomes president again, then how are they going to feel when or if Trump is able to shut down their news network because he would have such "unlimited power" as president? Not mobilizing people against an authoritarian like Trump, is completely irresponsible. There's an old saying: "It's not just the evil who wreak havoc on the world. It's the good people who don't do enough to stop them." Good quality responsible journalism is supposed to be the Fourth Estate for our country's democracy. Again, If Trump becomes president again, then what are they going to do when or if Trump is able to shut down their news network because he would have such "unlimited power" as president? Look at how Merrick Garland fumbled the whole thing with prosecuting Trump for his crimes by pussyfooting for WAY TOO LONG over the need to send a special investigator like Jack Smith to hit the ground running on both the Jan. 6 case and the Classified Documents case, all because Garland way too afraid of being seen as too partisan.
  13. MSNBC is not, but CNN is by constantly bending over backwards to seem like they are being "fair and balance" by continuing to their bothsidesism. They've been basically like "People are very worried about Trump being a danger to this country because of how much he's threatening our democracy, but people are also worried about the danger Biden poses because he comes off as a doddering old man. So, both of them are equally bad...." They are playing right into the hands of Trump by not talking a lot more about Trump, MAGA, project 2025, and the Supreme Court. Even Dan Pfeiffer from Pod Save America, mentioned before about how executives in CNN have admitted to not caring about our country's democracy. They said "Well, it's not our job to protect democracy in America. News is a business and viewership is what matters the most to us for our bottomline." As for the anti-mainstream left media, how are they going to sleep at night if Trump get elected president again? If they have such higher morals than most people in this country, like you say they do, then aren't they going to feel any remorse themselves for letting that evil monster become president again? Maybe, these anti-mainstream left pundits never really gave a damn about leftism and have been preying on their desperate left-wing audience for money and attention by pretending to be these "bleeding heart liberals/progressives." You even said before that Cenk is a real attention whore himself.
  14. So, then why are media outlets such as TYT, CNN, the Hill, and Breaking Points who know very well about all of this being complicit by helping Trump?
  15. Presidents can't get arrested or be found guilty in the US for any war crimes. They can only get arrested and convicted for crimes done within American soil.
  16. Over the past month, Project 2025 has generated such significant interest and attention online, that it now has surpassed even highly popular topics like Taylor Swift and the NFL!!!😨
  17. According to many historians and political scientists, Biden has achieved the greatest set of domestic policy achievements compared to any other president since LBJ in 60s! He also has been tied with Truman as having been the most pro-labor union and pro-worker president in US History, second only to FDR! He is the most economic populist since LBJ or Truman in the 40s!
  18. The far-right French party was supposed to win in the 2024 French legislative election over past the weekend. Yet, it turned out that the left-wing and centrist parties, soundly defeated the radical right-wing party. The left-wing party surprisingly became the real victor of this election!
  19. People like you don't know what you're talking about: Look what happened in 1968 when Nixon won back then.
  20. Low-information voters and poorly educated people don't care much about actual policies and don't vote for a candidate based on what that candidate's policies are, right? Though, Project 2025 is a list a numerous unpopular policies. So, how much do voters really care about policies when they are voting for a certain candidate?
  21. That's not the only reason why Trump got elected in 2016. It's also because too many Americans felt like that Obama and Democrats felt like they let them down by not doing enough for them during Obama's 2nd term as president, Hillary Clinton did not have the incumbency advantage, and Hillary Clinton ran against Trump in an open seat for president, while the Democrats held the White House, and didn't run as a true heir apparent of Obama, whom all Democrats in the country were willing to united under. All of that made her and her entire party made her look really bad as a candidate. It was further because Obama and Democrats failed to build their party's coalition like successful party building presidents such as FDR during the New Deal era did or the way that Ronald Reagan did for the Republican part during the 80s and 90s. Obama was too afraid of being a partisan advocate like FDR or Reagan were. Obama should've used the power of his presidency to message with liberal populist rhetoric repeatedly to continue winning over more and more and more support of the people for a modern liberal vision that would be broadly appeal to the general populace like the way FDR did during his time. Also, a lot of people didn't like how Obama didn't come off as emotionally honest and instead came off too often as too cerebral and aloof. Moreover, the Democratic party for decades have kept playing into the hands of the Republican narrative for the sake of "bipartisanship" and "moderation." Furthermore, the mainstream media and left-wing media outlets failed to combat the influence of the right-wing media that has dominated the news coverage in the US since the 90s.
  22. Swing state polls, especially those in the midwestern states, are even more prone to polling errors according to many experts. Look what happened in 2016, when the polls back then predicted around election day that Hillary would comfortably win each of the swing states: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Yet, she lost all of those states to Trump in the in the electoral college back then.