Geromekevin

1. Focus on film making 60 to 80 hours a week. Read books, watch tutorials 20% of the time and execute and practice 80% of the time. Do it for 3-6 months until you're okay / decent / good at it. 2. Move into the city where you favorite guru / coach / mentor / instructor live and offer to work for him for free. If he declines, next until you get to work for someone for free. Use the rest of the money to sustain yourself until you are good enough so that that person will pay you. 3. Now you work on your life passion getting paid with one of the most influential persons of your life. Then you can calibrate further.

You've got AZ right (so far)! Currently it looks like Trump is leading NC, MI and PA though, which would mean a win for him. I got AZ wrong, but the rest looks true.

Final prediction: https://www.270towin.com/maps/Wpglx Didn't change much, just a little less secure about some states. Wisconsin might become red again like 2016, too. The money / market predicts a Trump win because: - the betting markets heavily favor Trump (= you win less betting on him). - Stock markets indicate a Trump win because the oil and energy companies' stocks surged while big tech lost. This means the market is expecting the candidate that is pro fracking and anti big tech monopolies to win. BTW, I'm NOT saying I want this. I'm german and think both candidates aren't the best the US has to offer. Putting it out here to see how well the prediction holds up and how good / bad my model of reality is.

@Leo Gura I almost agree with your prediction #1. Except for: MI: I think there is a much higher "shy Trump" vote in Michigan, than you might think. PA: I think the riots in Philadelphia will drive more voters in Western Pennsylvania to vote to reelect President Trump. https://www.270towin.com/maps/Wpglx So it'll be 243 Biden, 295 Trump, but Biden winning popular vote because of Florida.

Here you can see what evil they believe: https://youtu.be/WpgDPwo64lo

@leogura could you please address my genuine questions?

I always love when Leo posts videos of zooms into fractals on his blog. Here is a video of an infinite Zoom into a pen. https://player.vimeo.com/video/355005914?autoplay=1&auto_play=true

In Leos recent blog video "Rethinking Human History" Leo says that the world history has been shaped by the most ruthless, egotistical and bloodthirsty people. I wondered and researched. One interesting thing I found was that Napoleon was against torture, which is a pretty advanced world view for that time. Thought this was interesting and that I'd share it with you.

I think the simulation theory is true. If you aren't familiar with it, the basic argument goes like this: Soon, we will be able to create a simulation that is indistinguishable from reality. In this simulation you could also create a reality that is indistinguishable from reality because the simulation is indistinguishable from reality. If this is both true, our world could also be a simulation. And you can repeat this argumentation as often as you want. So we could be in a simulation, in a simulation, in a sumilation... ad infinitum until there maybe is a base reality. In this context here are my questions: How does spirituality tie in into the simulation theory? Do you just assume that it is wrong and we are living in base reality? Do you think that drugs / awakenings take you back into base reality and or give you experiences from it? How do you know, that what you experience aren't just hallucinations? Maybe we will be able to create experiences in different ways (e.g. electric stimulation) that will feel the same? I mean just because it feels real and you could swear that it was and must be real, doesn't mean it is real. Spirituality has close to zero value (besides placebo) because it leaves the realm of reason. All there is is math. You can't reliably reproduce spirituality. You can reliably reproduce math and physics.

@Leo Gura Could you please elaborate?

Disclaimer: My private politics do not align with Republicans (/ Trump) or Dems (/ Bernie - I like him the most of the current candidates). A good model of the world is able to predict. I'd like for Leo (and people reading this) to put some skin in the game and do make predictions. We can keep track here, learn together and adjust our models according to the data. Accountability and direct experience will teach us. I just read "How Nazis Win Elections" by Leo in his blog. I'm German, I watched parts of both videos. What Trump and Hitler are saying and how they say is, is totally different. Besides Trump has condemned Nazis countless times (see here for example about Charlottesville). I think Leo is wrong saying that Trump is a Nazi or that many of his followers are. So, here are my predictions: Trump will get re-elected. Probability: 98%. Reason / Filter: I'm confident he gets reelected simply for the fact that in American history almost all presidents got two terms. Trump will only serve two terms. Probability: 98%. Reason / Filter: Trump is neither a dictator nor a Nazi. He has condemned Nazis several times. In my filter he views himself as an American and respects the constitution. Therefore, he won't take over the government and rule as a dictator. After Trump, a democrat will get elected. Probality: 80%. Reason / Filter: My first two predictions combine into this one. I think history will repeat and power will switch again. There will only be skirmishes, no wet (= many guns) street fights. Probability: 75%. Reason / Filter: Republicans like use weapons to defend themselves. Unless the media turns the population against each other, there will only be small fist fights at ralleys and some major fist fights at demonstrations - just like in the previous elections. I disagree with Leos take "There will likely be blood." if that means there will be heavy fights. I can only see heavy fights happen if both sides the media demonize each other significantly more. Let me know what you think and what your predictions are. Let's be accountable and keep score here.

Bernie is way too old. He is already 78. If you vote for him now and he gets 2 periods he will be close to 90 when he's done. Show me one 78 year old who can solve complex problems or make difficult decisions on a regular bases for 16 hours a day, Let alone more than two hours or with 86. Btw I think Trump and Hillary are both too old to govern, too. People in that age are just mentally unfit to govern. The oldest fit dude I know is Jerzy Gregorek (google him, he's not a politician). IMO No one should become president after 58. If you get two periods you will be 66, which is old enough.

@emind Keep in mind, like some people in this thread said, you could also be right and the others are lost.

@zeroISinfinity Could be, could not be. No way to know for sure. But I'm sure as time progresses we get to learn more about this

@emind Oh yeah and to answer your question. Yes, if the simulation is real, experiencing the Truth is probably an illusion (unless the makers of the simulation(s) did include it to give you information about the Truth). Other effects of enlightenment and spiritual work can still be very real and I would argue they are.