royce

don't be so sure bro

haha calma calma , what made you so angry ?

The people are exhausted due to the U.S. imposing sanctions for 50 years to fuel internal tensions.

@PurpleTree You are acting like my gf, haha

i didn't say Everything is Trumps fault you said

So, have you studied Trump's policies in the Middle East during his presidency, or are you just replaying like this without knowledge?

The conflict in the Middle East started as a result of actions taken by Trump, but some people can't piece the full picture together.

**Preliminary Analysis of the Recent Iranian Military Strike on Israel** - Sameh Askar **Firstly:** It is clear that the Revolutionary Guards intervened against the wishes of Bazashkian, who had been reluctant, hesitant, or fearful to respond to the assassination of Haniyeh. This strike is clearly the work of the Revolutionary Guards, not the Iranian presidency. This is a complex situation understood only by those familiar with the nature and fabric of Iranian society and its political system. **Secondly:** The strike was larger than the one on April 15th, and it is likely that it involved dozens of hypersonic missiles. This explains the inability of the Zionist air defenses to intercept them, as most of the missiles passed through the American defense wall that NATO has established around Israel since the "flood." **Thirdly:** The results of the strike are still subject to speculation, but it is likely that it hit significant military targets, destroying equipment and aircraft, and possibly killing high-ranking military or political leaders. This remains within the realm of possibility, given Israel's strict military censorship on news about strikes against its military zones in particular. **Fourthly:** Iran has effectively entered the war, as Israel will undoubtedly respond, prompting the Revolutionary Guards to retaliate with an even fiercer blow multiple times larger. **Fifthly:** The timing of the strike was critical in boosting morale and regaining the initiative for the "Axis of Resistance," which had previously lost it due to Bazashkian's policies and his mismanagement, including sacrificing Lebanese resistance leaders. **Sixthly:** Today, Israel received a significant blow, a "shock" that will force it to step back from its peace and truce initiatives. As mentioned before, Israel will not seriously consider peace without a significant shock. What happened today, including the Lebanese and Iranian strikes and the recent operation in Tel Aviv, has created this much-needed shock. Israeli leaders will inevitably consider the balance of interests, a thought process they had abandoned when they sensed fear, cowardice, and weakness within the Axis, particularly from the reformist leadership of President Bazashkian. **Seventh and finally:** I had anticipated this strike, regardless of the delay, and criticized its postponement. I predicted that delaying and showing fear would lead to Israel's further aggression and ability to seize the initiative. Had this strike not been delayed, Israel might not have dared to assassinate Nasrallah. However, better late than never. **Currently, in Israel, there is one main focus: (Assessing the Iranian Military Strike)** Israel's behavior in the upcoming hours and days will reveal the extent and impact of this strike. Based on the reports and visuals from within Israel, captured by Israeli photographers, the Iranian strikes have destroyed military bases, airports, and institutions. The initial Israeli reaction is one of "threatened frenzy": promises of total annihilation, comprehensive war, revenge, refusal to stay silent, and targeting the Middle East. Statements such as "The enemy will regret it" indicate that the Iranian strikes were highly effective. According to the spokesperson of the Israeli Defense Forces, an announcement was issued urging citizens not to film or document the sites of missile impacts, termed as "impact locations," and threatening punishment for those who do. Those who filmed the Iranian missiles will likely face punishment from Ben Gvir’s police, possibly on charges like threatening national security. However, Ben Gvir seems unaware that the range of Iranian airstrikes was so vast that even Egyptians in Sinai captured footage and live-streamed the Iranian missiles striking areas in the Negev and the surroundings of Gaza. Israel now faces two options: 1. **A strong response proportionate to the magnitude of the Iranian strike**, which will expose it to a retaliatory attack from the Revolutionary Guards. This would likely involve a wider attack that would, for the first time, target civilian areas. 2. **Swallow the poison and de-escalate military tensions in the region**, either by delivering a token, agreed-upon response or by remaining silent and choosing not to respond. Should this happen, Israel's deterrence balance would collapse, shifting the initiative to the Axis of Resistance. We are facing critical hours and days. While they may not be decisive, they are significant as they form part of the ongoing conflict between Zionism and the diverse peoples of the Middle East. This is a struggle that, even after 80 years of the entity's presence, demonstrates that it remains a malignant outpost, rejected by the people of the East, who will continue to fight against it regardless of the sacrifices involved.

@PurpleTree haha Netanyahu Care , The euphoria is evident on him After Killing Nasrallah , I take pleasure in seeing my enemy’s ego rise. this is good

The Israeli plan for Jordan involves relocating Palestinians from the West Bank to Jordan, a concept known as the "alternative homeland." Jordan already hosts around 3 million Palestinians displaced from Palestine and heavily depends on U.S. grants and aid. The country has a joint defense agreement with the United States and relies entirely on Israel for its water and gas supply. The Israel-Jordan border stretches 350 km. The King of Jordan understands that if this plan is implemented, his rule may be at risk, as the Palestinian population would outnumber Jordanians, threatening his reliance on support from Jordanian tribes—a crucial pillar of his authority. However, the execution of this plan is expected to follow the elimination of the "axis of resistance" in Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria, which is considered the strongest front was Hezbollah.

The claim that Palestinians will only accept 100% of the land is a myth; they are in a weak position. In reality, Netanyahu has no intention of negotiating with them. Instead, his strategy involves bombing and invading southern Lebanon, targeting Iranian-aligned forces in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, and further normalizing relations with authoritarian regimes in the Middle East. He intends to carry out exactly what he stated at the United Nations.

Firstly, I disagree with your tone. Anyone listening to you would think that the Palestinians just landed from Mars and that you were forced to deal with them, which is the opposite of what actually happened. Secondly, the idea that everything was fine before October 7 is outdated. With the internet, anyone can easily find out what the situation for Palestinians has been like over the past 100 years. I’m not sure who you’re trying to mislead on this forum. Thirdly, the way you talk about the people of the Middle East, clearly aimed at a Western audience, paints them as if they’re savages and only you know how to handle them. This is a trivial perspective, and the Palestinian who defends his family barefoot in Gaza is more developed than you and your entire country. and I am genuinely unbiased, but you behave like a tribe. So, to correct your question, it should be: How do you achieve peace with my "red-stage" country when dealing with "red-stage" people? Give these people their fucken rights

https://chomskypc.wordpress.com/2015/11/22/august-15-2006-chomsky-my-dinner-with-hassan/

@Ayham https://x.com/zei_squirrel/status/1840184222897541454

You will not achieve peace and the war is long

In this conflict, I stand with the Palestinians, their resistance, and all those who support them. Terrorism, in my opinion, is the cultivation of fear; making people afraid to think or act due to fear of consequences. It is not necessarily a bad thing in itself, but when it is used in a way mixed with injustice, it becomes something very vile and should provoke you. There must be a reaction. If there are no reactions to this injustice, it is an indication that these people have died The clearest example of terrorism today is Israel's actions in the region. They aim to label Hamas as a terrorist organization, okey i will agree with the Zionist narrative for once But why you collectively punishing 2 million people, ?? their intention is to spread fear and deter any future similar actions, betting that such acts will not be repeated. This will happen again, and next time, it won’t be 10,000 entering Israel but a million. and What happened with Hezbollah was a setback, but they will learn from their mistakes. Issues with communication and security breaches will be resolved. It will be a prolonged conflict. These people began their resistance with stones; now that they have missiles and drones, how can you expect them to stop?

@Ayham why ?

@Ayham This is the inevitable result of global terrorism. When those in control act like terrorists, ,the presence of Hassan Nasrallah becomes meaningful.

and keep in mind this is not a bad thing

Yes, this what they signed up for

### Preliminary Analysis of the Assassination of Hezbollah’s Secretary-General - Sameh Askar Let’s try to summarize the overall context and use straightforward language to explain the complexities involved. **First:** It appears that Israel and the United States have been collaborating over the years to plant high-precision surveillance devices in the southern suburbs of Beirut (Dahieh). This would explain why all assassinations of Hezbollah leaders occur there; Israel seems to have limited intelligence beyond this area. Every prominent party leader who has been targeted was located in Dahieh. This situation requires thorough sweeping and review of the area, which I believe Lebanon is not currently capable of conducting effectively on its own. Assistance from foreign powers, particularly Russia and China, may be needed—not Iran, as it is evident that the Iranians are also not as advanced in this field, for reasons not to be discussed here. **Second:** It also seems that Israel and the United States have managed to infiltrate an important faction of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). This doesn't necessarily mean they have recruited agents within, but they might have planted surveillance devices among them or in their usual locations. A major piece of evidence supporting this is that whenever there is an assassination in Dahieh, an Iranian advisor from the IRGC is also involved. This suggests prior knowledge of the movements of these leaders. The Iranians urgently need to initiate a scientific and political revolution to salvage what they can, as any escalation could result in the assassination of high-ranking Iranian state leaders, or even the Supreme Leader himself. The dimensions of this revolution should include cooperation with the Russians to uncover and analyze these developments, as Russia is highly advanced in this field and possesses the technical expertise to detect Western spying methods. The Russians have a history of dealing with such techniques, from the Chechen and Georgian conflicts to the current situation in Ukraine. **Third:** The Middle East is likely heading towards a significant regional war in the near future. The assassination of Hassan Nasrallah would eliminate any prospects of "Lebanese political harmony," paving the way for more extreme and aggressive leadership within Hezbollah. The Secretary-General was not just a political party leader; he was an inspiration, an ideology, and a charismatic figure who wielded wide influence in Lebanon and managed to foster communication with different Lebanese factions. Over 20 years, he established a political consensus that effectively shaped the Lebanese scene. With the assassination of Nasrallah, a new leader will emerge who may not possess the patience and self-restraint Nasrallah demonstrated over the past year. Nasrallah’s approach was characterized by measured responses, which led to criticism and accusations of failing Gaza, as he insisted on referring to Lebanon as the "supporting front." Although this stance had adverse security consequences, leading to these breaches, he maintained this position until the last moment. As of now, we do not know who the new leader will be or what their character and policies will be like, but it is likely they will come with a dual motivation of revenge and self-affirmation. These emotions are enough to trigger an escalation and a demonstration of power that Nasrallah deliberately refrained from showing in the recent period. **Fourth:** The new leader of Hezbollah will likely be pressured to intensify attacks and use weapons that have not previously been deployed. **Fifth:** Hezbollah’s allies within the "Axis of Resistance" will also likely escalate their attacks in a show of solidarity and unity of stance. We might see widespread acts of retaliation, given Nasrallah’s central role as an inspiring leader within this axis. His support for other factions, especially in Yemen, has been significant, and we may see more assertive actions from the Yemenis as a result. **Sixth and finally:** Those who predict or promote the collapse of Hezbollah or the resistance clearly do not understand the ideological and psychological makeup of the "Muslim fighter," who views such incidents as part of God's decrees. Such events do not provoke overwhelming anger, weakness, or exaggerated mourning. Instead, Nasrallah would transform into a popular icon and legend in both Lebanese and Arab contexts. His assassination at the hands of Israel would grant him power and standing not just in the Shia community but also within the Sunni community, as he gave his life in their defense. In conclusion, the assassination of Nasrallah is a crucial chapter in fostering Sunni-Shia solidarity against occupation. As the saying goes, every cloud has a silver lining; this event has completely discredited the notion of "Shia collaboration with Israel," which has been widely promoted in the Sunni community. This narrative was spread by Wahhabi propaganda over the past two decades to justify sectarian massacres and to solidify the power and influence of jihadist factions that emerged from Wahhabi ideology specifically and Western intelligence agencies more generally. In the same context... Arab intelligence agencies and Arab security are required in the coming period to understand and interpret this breach and study the idea of planting eavesdropping devices over a large geographic area or in places where leaders and influencers are present... Israel has become more aggressive and will continue to become even more so, with endless support from the United States. It will raise its demands on Arab regimes and countries, especially after the official rejection of normalization with Saudi Arabia and the crisis of the Philadelphi Corridor with Egypt. Currently, Israel is experiencing a media victory, with a state of political and societal euphoria similar to what it experienced in 1967, with some differences. In 1967, Israel gained Arab land, but in 2024 it is practicing state terrorism by assassinating leaders of its opponents. This euphoria and self-pride, along with the ongoing security threat posed by resistance rockets, means we are dealing with a war criminal project with no limits—no barriers preventing it from achieving its dreams and ambitions that were previously silenced during moments of weakness. Betting on the United States is a losing gamble, not only because the U.S. is currently losing in the global power struggle, but also because Lebanon is paying the price for this gamble now. The CIA has infiltrated key aspects of the Lebanese state, planting eavesdropping devices and booby-trapping areas like the southern suburbs. What would prevent the agency from doing the same in other Arab countries?