Rafael Thundercat

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About Rafael Thundercat

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  • Birthday 08/14/1981

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  1. What is the point of this collection?
  2. https://www.instagram.com/p/DdbTGNPlJEt/?img_index=9&dlrf=anVlNTZxcTBuZnR4 Even the Women.
  3. I had a chat with Claude on the topic of the last post on AI Delusion. AI Delusions https://share.google/TxWA0rkVvwsteDRU9 Weird, having a chat about AI delusion with the AI itself. Here is what I got: Claude: There's a strong core here, but also some weak points in the argument. What holds up: an apocalyptic or messianic belief combined with enormous incentives distorts judgment. When the goal is "infinitely good," any means starts to look cheap, and that logic has caused a lot of damage in history. It's also legitimate to fear that the promise of an "AI that solves everything" serves as a veneer for concentrating power, and that the real costs (jobs, energy, inequality) fall on people who have no say. Where I'd push back: "Most CEOs believe it" is a generalization. Some believe it sincerely, others exaggerate for marketing and fundraising. The two cases call for different responses, and the text treats everything as sincere delusion. "Zero evidence" is too strong. There is evidence of real progress; what doesn't exist is evidence that the extrapolation to a "digital God" will pan out. Uncertainty is not the same as absence of evidence. The suicide-bomber comparison and "would kill a million children" are rhetoric, not argument. They weaken the solid part of the text. "The problem is not AI" may be a false dichotomy: the technology can carry real risks and the ideology around it can be dangerous. I'm an AI made by one of those companies, so take my analysis knowing that. But I think the critique gets stronger if it targets incentives and power structures rather than psychological diagnosis. A question for you: what draws you more in this text, the analysis of incentives or the moral certainty that they're monsters? It's worth noticing which of the two is moving you. You: I think you analyzed the text more than I did. I don't take anything for granted. Claude: Fair, and thanks for the correction. I assumed an endorsement you hadn't declared: I read the text as if it were your position and responded to it, when you were only bringing it into the conversation. So the right question is a different one: what do you want to do with it? It could be testing whether the argument holds up, understanding why it resonates, or seeing what happens to reasoning when one premise (the belief in the "AI-God") is pushed to the extreme. Each of those paths calls for a different conversation. You: The only way would be to meet some of these CEOs and see what they say, to know whether they're really that deluded. Claude: Good idea, and you can do it without meeting them in person: many have already spoken at length in long interviews, essays, and congressional testimony. But what they say in public is filtered by incentives (fundraising, regulation, image), so listening to them alone doesn't settle the question of sincere belief. A few signals help separate conviction from marketing: Consistency across audiences: does what they tell investors, regulators, and casual conversation partners match? Behavior: do they act like people who believe in extreme risk or extreme gain? Where do they put money, time, and people? Stated uncertainty: people who use "maybe," "if," and "I estimate" tend to be better calibrated than people who speak only in certainties. Disagreement among them: if people in the same industry openly disagree, "most of them are like that" loses force. Want me to look up what some of them have said recently, so you can evaluate concrete material instead of the caricature? You: Sure Claude: The material I found shows a more varied picture than the text you brought suggests. Who speaks with certainty: Sam Altman says we may be only a couple of years away from early versions of true superintelligence. He also said that OpenAI will have an internal system it calls AGI by the end of 2026. But his track record matters: one compilation of his statements shows that in February 2026 he said "we basically have built AGI" and later backed off, calling the phrase a spiritual statement, not a literal one. That fits your doubt about conviction versus marketing. (223 superintelligence within years sam altman meta ai scientist disagrees +2) Dario Amodei, of Anthropic (the company that made me, so weigh that), argues that the next level of AI could debut in 2026 and be smarter than Nobel Prize winners. (khaleejtimes) Who speaks with doubt: Demis Hassabis, of Google DeepMind, is more cautious: he sees AGI on the horizon, maybe within the next five years. He has also said AI is overhyped in the short term but underappreciated in the medium to long term, and that parts of the industry probably are in a bubble. (223 superintelligence within years sam altman meta ai scientist disagrees +2) Sundar Pichai acknowledged elements of irrationality in the market, similar to the dot-com era's exuberance. (newatlas) Yann LeCun, who isn't a CEO but is a heavyweight voice, called the idea of manufacturing "geniuses" in a data center complete BS. (malaymail) What this says about the thesis: "most CEOs are deluded in the same way" doesn't hold up well. Some forecast extremely short timelines, and others warn of exaggeration, sometimes inside the same companies that profit from the narrative. That doesn't absolve anyone: the people with the most aggressive timelines are also the ones who most need capital. But "sincere conviction" and "marketing" seem to coexist in different proportions in each person. A question for you: after seeing this, what changed in your initial impression, and what stayed the same?
  4. @Leo Gura, great you got into Babylon interest. Take a look the Book from David Graeber "Debt" it touch on the themes of Barter,Slavery,Guilt,Gold,Coinage,Sin, and overall the origin of the Idea of Debt or that one being Owns another being. Because well, the ideia that I can own another human being must be created even if was bit by bit or bite by bite if we go back to pre-history.
  5. I am still watching. I will finish today. Why do you assume I support whatever? And what is your insight about this?
  6. Gosh, this shit is so interconnected. By know there is hard to say one thing in the Geopolitical arena is isolated. For sure this all connects with Israel,Congo,Tech Companies, AI... Survival is so complex.
  7. Historically we know what happens internally with a Nation that spend their way down into Wars. France Revolution for example. Was not the case that all the invesment of Foreign wars weakened it inside and the discontent from its citzens got to the point to the Bastille situation? I am reducing a bit here since there may be other factors but is not this one of many factors? How lond can one spend energy outwards till the inner system collapse? ( I am making a parallel with a person for exemple spend energy figth outside drama that end up draining the body capacity to have energy for itself
  8. Sometimes there are topics that sound unrelated but I can make them relate. For example the Survival of the Christianity Institution may be due to this process that this guy talk about. Is a lot of talk but I could understand this since young age. Not with this level of explanatory power. But deep down I knew that there was something dark going on in the system,being it family dyamics,school system,companies,jobs etc.. We are born inside of a system that have a lot of contradictions. This guy put a finger upon it.
  9. We are built upon psycophaty. Is a bitter pill swollow but once understod one dont get surprised with the world situatuon. We are in a survival loop.
  10. We dont want to admit that as Civilization we are built upon Psycophaty
  11. This is very clear in Ayahuasca trips. Because even if the trip may be strong and for some Dissasotiative, the thing is that one can see clearly how the fabric of this psyche is made of. Is like a net of a fisherman, and one see in fron of itself the unraveling work one will need to get free from this net. First time I saw that I said to myself " Holy Fuck, this will be more work than I thought it would be" because in my first time the intention was Sunyata rigth away. And for my disappointment I realized that would not be easy like that. Is the work of a lifetime.
  12. If the last thin line of suffering or attachment that the individual ego is resisting could be named, what we would call it? I can imagine like a line thin as a hair, and if the ego would just let go of that infinity would be waiting. But the ego dont want to Surrender and keep holding into that single thread.
  13. Lula opinions on the Political Sphere and on Trump CNN interview I think is possible to have English Subtitles
  14. Well, as far as I understand from reading some people the case is the Left have a problem of self interest conflict. Read this and tell me what you think: A text from Working People's Liberation Corps " Everyone on the American left is too scared to act, and has too much ego to admit it: Our analysis on the lack of revolution in America We're too scared to act: We know the typical response of treating any groups violent reaction to state violence and oppression as equal to that same state violence is a means to psychologically boxing people into only non violent tactics. But internally for each American leftist there is a fear that manifests in different ways. For the liberals, progressives,soc dems and dem socs it's a fear of losing their precious imperial crumbs, or having their illusion of a stable democracy broken, or just a general fear of having to do anything other than show up to vote every couple of years; usually a combination of multiple of these factors if not all. For the compatibile socialists, trotskyist, anarchists and left coms, it's a fear of doing anything that might actually require them to put the books they've read into practice and commit to real revolutionary effort. They fear the consequences of any real radical action. But these fears aren't exclusive to each group as they often overlap. How do we see these fears manifest: These fears manifest in different ways but can also very easily overlap. Electoralist cope and celebrity worship for politicians is one way we see this happen. Condemnation of any violence at a protest toward violent cops can be another. Running imperial apologia which is often an area of overlap among different types of leftists. Criticism of actually existing socialism, another example we often see, as a way to maintain your status as a "socialist" while signaling to the state you pose no true threat. And on the streets we see this as bystander effect. Thousands of people easily showing up for a peaceful march, but only a few hundred showing up to try to stop ice from kidnapping a man they just shot from a hospital. And only a few dozen of those hundred having the courage to physically battle the cops. People doing rapid response just screaming at ice agents and filming instead of de-arresting the people they are kidnapping. Leftists of any flavor are scared of the consequences of any truly revolutionary action, even tho many of us have nothing or close to nothing left to lose at this point. Our ego is killing any true base building: Everyone has the to be the one to lead the revolution. Everyone has to be right about their interpretation of the theory. Everyone has to be right about their method of how we do this. And this is why we can't even connect the networks we have built and already exist. Social media and a bit of digging across various leftist organizing efforts will help anyone realize we have many of the networks and communities we need to begin forming a truly united front against capitalism. But these networks are silo'd from each other largely because of the egos of those who lead these efforts. Some have tried and there are some others like the black panthers, the panther party, united against the elites, people's core, and general strike us that are trying to build these connections for the communities, but they cant do it alone. If leftists combined their efforts instead of feeling the need to always be the hero, we would have a good start on the interconnected networks we'd need to survive even just a general strike. Our need for a hero has lead us to follow the wrong people: From people somehow still thinking mamdani hasn't betrayed his promises from the campaign trail, to people who still think a 501c organization will lead us to revolution, the need for a hero is crippling us. Even leaders in this movement still running cope for Mamdani, or trying to put the socialist label on Abdul el-Sayed even though he's said clearly he was a a capitalist, can't seem to let go of this need for a hero. Good comrades still trying to get radical results from 501c organizations that get their legal status from the same state they claim to be trying to dismantle, cant let go of the idea that our current institutions can be reformed and can save us. They cant see all politicians under capitalism are beholden to it and its ruling ideas, no matter the revolutionary language they use. All 501c organizations are beholden to the state apparatus which grants it that status, thus will never truly take steps outside that apparatus to end it. We must realize that only we the people can do what needs to be done. There's no easy answers, but we must do better: We have the duty as residents of the imperial core to work from within to topple it. As late stage capitalism speeds ramps us to climate collapse and mass genocide, we have to understand that if we don't act, we and future generations won't have a planet to enjoy. No amount of loss of our comforts or crumbs of imperial plunder are worth the hardships and pain future generations will have to endure. We must see the ruling class feeds on our fear and plays our egos against each other hoping to keep us from coming together to stop the machine that is capitalism once and for all. The sooner we stop being scared of our collective power, and stop letting our need to always be right and be recognized hamper us from working together, the sooner we can all watch these pedos swing in the wind together. And we know revolution takes a long time, but the black panthers began the work we must now finish 60 years ago. The revolution is overdue friends. You truly have nothing to lose but your chains comrades, so stand together and shake them off! POWER TO THE PEOPLE!!!