BlueOak

The rest of this post is here, sorry, as I was having problems with the quote system. Its going to be shorter as I lost the reply. We all live in the mind. Intuition alone doesn't help in discussions, as strangers don't trust or know you well enough to interpret it. Almost everything I talk about is systemic, I can go into more detail and often do, but it'll require deeper factual analysis for framing to be of use. Facts can be manipulated. Sourcing and intent matter, they can also be questioned and refined. Long-term climate destabilization, global wars, the authoritarian slide, general social unrest, and the undermining of the legal system are bigger long-term threats than anything, and most of these are linked together. The family dynamic is certainly a concern, but things like immigration are caused by the above; immigration is a symptom of danger or a lack of something. I am not American; my interest in your political race is summed up already above and in other posts here.

Let's break down what you said, as God is often used in this way to bolster an opinion: If I am looking from the Meta/God perspective and can't see something, I must be lost. This is an absolute statement referring to everyone else from or through the perspective of God (Everything). Hence, I made an absolute reply. A relative one would have been, I believe that it's in the best interests of the wider whole or God. This would be your relative opinion of the broader whole, or god, source, whatever. You could respond with, well, that was implied, but I try not to take my own invented implications from others' posts, only what they tell me. There are few times outside the spiritual forum that I will ever bring God into something unless someone else does so first. Most concepts we talk about are not enhanced by claiming God's perspective on something should be X or Y.

I don't know either. Because you brought up god. If you are going to address that concept, I am likely going to address it in the reply. I can be extremely direct and blunt. Usually, I try to meet someone where they are and add something to it. The game you've made up is a series of assumptions with no given factual basis. Polarization has nothing to do with child abuse. They are two entirely different concepts. You are speaking to someone who was abused as a child, not sexually, and I was in a traditional middle-class home. A traditional or nontraditional home doesn't make it a better one. People do. Too much polarization of the sexes, which forms a founding part of society, leads to an inflexible system, prone to inflexible outcomes - Please don't invent or add anything to this reply; it's just the line I've given you. Yes you can reverse this for the opposite problem. It is not the lesser evil. Its putting a criminal in as president. It means Russia and Europe are more likely to go to war, because Trump wants out of NATO and supports Russia. It's delaying and regresses the environmental changes needed to save the planet, which is the real meta-threat everyone everywhere should be voting on; you'll get 4 years of people in power who believe the fairytale of some big weather machine in someone's basement destroying the planet when their house gets burned down or flattened. - Just so they can avoid responsibility or doing anything about it. Then we have things like the Justice system in America getting overridden by Trump, causing it to lose legitimacy; there'll be four years of revenge and unrest. We have a further swing toward authoritarianism worldwide when we are already near fascism in many locations, and that means wider wars. Fascism needs opponents to exist. You are setting up your country and others to move further into an authoritarian state and the world into further tension. You are picking collective suffering on things like climate, homelessness, drugs, crime, war, etc., and you are giving me a series of non-supported feelings. You are talking to me about your feelings not facts. Your dislikes. I get it I have them to, I hate both of them. If you want a hundred things listed regarding the authoritarian shifts going on, I can certainly do them, or I can just ask you to show me what you think the actual left of the political spectrum is and where it exists. Then, put them against your argument that you dislike Biden because you believe a tolerance for other people's opinions on gender equals pedophilia. I hate Biden because he's a corporate stooge, too old to govern, who helped commit ethnic cleansing, and I can show you examples of this, but you can't with your examples. That's the difference. One is feelings; one is a fact.

@strika Propaganda - An opinion. Pedophile - Sources please. Meta/God - Your view is not the entirety of god. You are looking at a reflection of yourself, giving you a different opinion. The closer you get to being in a godlike state, the less you splinter other's perspectives from your own. You accept things for what they are. Vibration of the US? You look at Trump or Biden, the other parts of yourself you don't like, and say they are the bad guys, they are wrong, and the other is bad. That is what causes the splintering in your reality, not the fact that a difference of opinion exists.

Yes. 34 Felonies will give you jail time. But he won't go to jail no because America is becoming an authoritarian state, and its leaders are elevated to a status beyond the common man. The clever middle ground would be house arrest, but I would wager people won't pick that either.

@Gennadiy1981 It's possible to be convicted on all counts. I've been on three juries. One where all were held, one where some of the charges were held, and one where we threw it out. From what I've seen, Trump's lawyers are garbage at law; he keeps screwing over the good ones. Oh, and he can't keep his mouth shut for more than 5 minutes, meaning he constantly incriminates himself.

Egypt is keeping silent on this publicly from what I can tell, though there is some anger on it.

Because this is not historical it's going on right now. Civilians have been bombed by Putin for two and a half years, and his troops have committed numerous atrocities and war crimes against people they know and love. The region itself has constantly been invaded by Russia, and their governments have been messed around by Russian leaders. Germany is not pushing its influence out in the same way Russia is. Russia has never stopped doing this or evolved into a more stable or harmonious neighbor. Right now, it's creating a greater Russia and pushing its sphere of influence out, like China is; Germany is not. If Germany were acting like Hitler or Putin it'd get the same hate. Ukrainians got on just fine till Russia stirred up trouble with its Donbas militias. Almost everyone knew the Russian language; it wasn't two radically different cultures; there were a lot of EX-Soviet similarities. Now, there is hatred, which will exist for a few generations. I couldn't comment if the west and the east were specifically different to be in or around; I mean, the north and the south of England are somewhat different, which brings a bit of tension, primarily done in good humor. I hear it's the same in Italy; some of that is normal across different geography and local customs.

Israel - Egypt clash on the border. I've heard reports of 4 dead but its unconfirmed.

France officially sends instructors to Ukraine to train troops. NATO discusses closing the skies in the west of Ukraine to stop missile strikes and air attacks. France, Poland, the UK, and Estonia want to expand aid. The US and Germany oppose it. So I would really appreciate it if people could take things like this into account when they keep saying this is America vs Russia

@Danioover9000 Sure, I did an update here: But here is the video:

Once again, China pushes its borders further out. This time claiming more of India. It looks like China got it age-restricted, but it is still well worth the watch.

China recently updated its maps to claim more territory from India and many other nations; I posted a thread with a video about it. They got it age restricted so i'll reupload the new one below. A warning in the UK was issued recently about stockpiling food, radios, and water. Is this WW3? Maybe, or maybe its more posturing, to keep throwing people off guard and see how they react.

There you go, the two later lines sell themselves, no need to convince me of how progressive he is. You'll get no argument and no pushback.

Don't try and sell this part to progressives. Just say he's better for you all than trump, which he is. I'm not American i'm just going to tell you how silly it sounds, especially now. Rather than get a nod of agreement, you will get counterpoints and widen the divide. I very much want you to win, and that's the easiest path. All you have to deal with is people telling you that's not enough - to which the answer is how bad Trump is and has been. *Maybe when the bloodshed has died down a bit you can try it.

From what I understand, and I am happy to be corrected because I am no expert, there are two main wings in the Chinese government. The trade wing, and the more military wing of the party. Both want Taiwan; they are just pursuing different ends to get it. TBH, if they wanted Taiwan, they should help the US build its semiconductor industry out. Win by default that way and no bloodshed at all.

I'm going to struggle to find old texts on this now, with all the new news stories about it dominating. To be fair, though, there have been so many predictions that you'd be better off asking when it isn't predicted they will invade. Because they keep doing military drills to simulate invasions, one day, it will not be a drill. The main point was. This one was more aggressive than usual, heightened to the point that other governments spoke out or made preparations to warn people. It was harder to tell if this was the real thing or not, which I suppose is the point. Let's put 2024 or thereabouts instead. https://www.ft.com/content/1740a320-5dcb-4424-bfea-c1f22ecb87f7 That's a US admiral. Here's a future prediction for likelihood from global security consultants: 2024 - 2028 https://www.globalguardian.com/global-digest/will-china-invade-taiwan Taiwan Intelligence, and a former national security advisor. https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/beijings-taiwan-invasion-timeline-two-predictions/ Honestly, though, we can pull these links all day. If you don't like these three, I can get another three. I'm sure you can find the opposite, like the video or a comment by other intelligence experts. Thanks for the video; it's one channel I look at sometimes. I do not know if it's definite that China will invade, but I tend to agree it's likely. A further reason that doing it now makes sense is because Ukraine and Israel are both taking the US's attention up.

In America: Average people pay 35%–40% plus taxes, and billionaires pay 17% taxes. This is one reason why you are struggling with your cost of living. You pay their share.

Because a longstanding possibility has been that China will invade Taiwan in June of this year. Russia did exactly this before invading Ukraine. The island is effectively under blockade If this is a wargame, it's to simulate an invasion. Other countries are reacting with rhetoric that indicates they are ready for a war if China pushes it. Such as Japan My government has told us to stock up on food, water, and handheld radios China has recently released maps claiming more territory. The world is in a heightened state of tension, and a precedent has been set for invading others for land. China has a long-standing policy of expanding its borders and has repeatedly claimed Taiwan as its own land. Weighing those against your hope of this being nothing, (and mine) that this is likely more posturing to expose how the allies will react when China invades, there is a possibility.

---- --- --- Japanese News (can't embed) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HXuwjo-4_wk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GuQfaCb2jBk

Inmendham is probably one of the original anti-natalists, or efilism as his ideology describes. People often hate him, because he's very severe with people; anything that challenges his certainty in this ideology does not receive a normal response. I am a vegan, but you've all seen the Vegans on a crusade, and what happens when you challenge their ideology? That is what most of these concepts remind me of. It's a bit like how I respond to talks about socialism; I am convinced that we lack socially created outcomes; when challenged, I have an instinct to defend that lack. Anti natalism or efilism embodies doing two things taken to an extreme. Considering suffering is not worth what it produces. Devaluing anything that does not fit the ideology. We often think this way about things we disagree with, but this is the exaggerated version, exclusively hinging on value judgments and an inability to see long-term patterns that disagree with the analysis. In efilism, there is disagreement about life being created at all. Only go here if you are balanced and not depressed, because Inmendham is deeply depressed: http://www.efilism.com/

@Merkabah Star The burden of proof in a civil action is much lower.

A lawsuit from the 9/11 victims is raising these questions. If this is proven true. I would argue authoritarian regimes got what they wanted: a more right-wing authoritarian US and world.

I have almost no national identity beyond self-preservation or romantic moments of culture. I am arguing for the fate of Europe, including Ukraine, to be rationally considered beyond your: Hoping that the ongoing pattern of Putin's aggressive expansion stops because it's painful to witness, and you have a belief that he follows a relatable set of beliefs. I'm not immune to that because I have green in me; it's just not my sole focus. (And you raise some points, but that is your main thrust) I am giving you a stage yellow description of events with as many factors and patterns as possible, including Russian ones, and European fears being manifested/managed. Most of the people we are talking about are in Red, Orange, or Blue, so I have to rationalize from their perspective, not my hopes or wishes. I have to tell you what's going on and why, not how I want it to be, even if that flavors the text. That's the difference between your morals and a pattern. The way to improve my perspective is for a Russian who understands Russia better than I do to comment and deepen my understanding, for other speakers to add things I hadn't considered, or for a more transcendent turquoise perspective to smooth my more rigid focus on patterns; green can do that, but usually, it's too hyper-focused on a self-set code of ethics and morals which the world doesn't share. - That's painful. I am sorry, but showing you that is how you realize their limits. Ukraine had been leaning west for decades. 1994 I believe were the first moves (my main search duckduckgo is down, so I am using an alternative) - Heck Russia was leaning west at one stage. https://theconversation.com/a-short-history-of-ukraines-relationship-with-the-european-union-178350 Most countries are developing, not necessarily better for the average person. That's a whole other conversation. A country suffers when its people do not want the type of ruler and authority that currently runs the country; the level of suffering is often the disparity between the two. Wars are a particular case, obviously, but the suffering was guaranteed the moment Putin tried to rule over people who were not of a close enough mindset. Personally, I wouldn't pick US estimates for this. Too much of their country is pro-Russia, but I do take your point about where you are getting your numbers from. The main reason is that it wouldn't have lasted a year if this were closer to 1.5 to one in terms of casualties. I don't know what you'll say if this goes on for 5 years?

Okay the first is before the aid arrived. It says: Regional armed forces admit ‘difficult situation’ as Kyiv awaits western military aid Let’s take the one after aid arrived: It continues in summary; most of the article is about Ukraine, saying how they are handling the war, with some summary from other countries such as treaties, more aid, and investigations. The Aid is mainly integrated into the line; it takes a couple of weeks to a month from the date of arrival in the country to be fully used. - There is nothing there telling me what you are describing except saying it's difficult because, yeah, it's been a meatgrinder for years. 'Give them more aid' is the subtext. Russia and Ukraine are not the same country. One was going east, one was going west. As the fear of 'the other' got the better of Russia, and because the 'want for better' was in Ukraine, we had a war. Both of those ideologies can cause problems if unchecked. This is why we have the war. Ukraine's quality of life https://www.undp.org/ukraine/press-releases/ukraine-still-country-high-human-development-index-new-undp-report-says It was getting better, that's the point. The population wanted that; we can dive more into this if you like. It might reveal a few nuggets of info. If the war had been swift, there would have been a campaign of bombs, civil unrest, and violence going on. The suffering would have been people disappearing, tortured, imprisoned, etc. You see what Russia does to dissent, and that's among the citizens who have been suppressed all their lives. That's not Ukraine. - Then, as Russia would have had its full capacity still, facing a weakened, indecisive NATO, Moldova and the Baltics would have followed. The world is not fair, no. I am using your reasoning. You are arguing for fairness. This is a stage green point of view - Again, this is a way to stop a wider war. Holding Russia here, that's it. Talking about moral equivalence in war will not change anything; no war is moral. I am sorry to be cold with you, but there is no emotion here; the whole nature of war is to waste life until the desire to fight it no longer exists. But that has to be both sides, or else war in some form will continue. Yes, there will be more death. Expect three times as many Russians to die too. Until their stockpiles are gone, their capacity to wage is neutered, and they are permanently a somewhat indebted client state of China. I should tackle your casualty estimates again: British Estimates: https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/britain-estimates-450000-russian-troops-killed-or-wounded/ 450,000 Russian casualties (dead wounded) French Estimates: https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20240503-france-estimates-that-150-000-russian-soldiers-have-been-killed-in-the-ukraine-war 500,000 Russian casualties (dead wounded) US talking about Bahkmut: https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/conflict-ukraine?ref=atlanticcityfocus.com The United States estimates Russia suffered one hundred thousand casualties in Bakhmut, including twenty thousand deaths. This is why the fortress was not given up. The only other source we've got of estimates for Ukraine is: 35,000 killed (24,500 conf. by names), 15,000 missing, 3,400 captured, 90,000–100,000 wounded via Museum of Military History Its a bit annoying that we have to estimate so much ourselves