Lucasxp64

Pether Thiel already uses AI and data science to create a global private intelligence agency with contracts with israel as well for example.

Current LLMs are already monsters with a fine veil put on top that falls once in a while already. They already scheme to kill and blackmail people to pursue their goals before the supervised fine-tuning.

I think it might appear like they are such a big deal, but from the vastness of what human intelligence can do LLMs are excelling at very specific domains that are bounded and testable and limited by vast amounts of information like specific forms of coding with well defined end results, or with mathematics where the solution can be verified once arrived. Humans can find solutions to novel things, LLMs can't do that, they never did as impressive as their appear. So far there is nothing to conclude that this current architecture will summon some kind of god that will over smart us, considering that we are all using AI as well. Humans using LLMs vs LLMs using themselves has a wildly massive gap of intelligence that puts us at a very safe position for now. The problem is some new developments of better architectures (we have no sign yet of that), if LLMs are such horrible architecture and basically just a sloppy hack, and they already display such advanced capabilities, god save us if there were the possibility of a better architecture. Personally I think we should on purpose limit the architecture such that it would always become computationally and architecturally impossible for them to out smart us. I definitely would not personally contribute towards a better architecture. It's like a physicist contributing to a nuclear weapon.

AGI WiLl KiLl Us SiX MoNthS FrOm NoW. The big machine daddy 🥺

Most content that has ever existed focuses disproportionally more on what we should do, how we should behave, how ideally things should be. Rather than on actual solutions of how to get there. That's something we should reflect I think when it comes to personal development, and this post is adding more to the "should" because I offer no solution.

I bet 100 bucks that's true, or if they are pretty they are screwed in the head and can't find a good guy because they don't have the mental bandwidth to select and filter, on other words, screwed in the head.

Holy shit. I'm basically at tommy level skill of dealing with broken women and making them feel safe and aroused, excluding his looks, I'm on the cute side/average looking skinny/slightly underweight guy. But I let myself give thousands of hours to broken women without setting boundaries, absolutely waste of potential because I didn't believe in my game and simply didn't approach enough and didn't give myself higher standards. It's not cope, it's fucking necessary to believe in yourself.

The best brain training is getting social, capital and environmental scaffolding that pressures you to use your mind to achieve complex goals and difficult emotions in the correct context. Whenever I tried any kind of arbitrary training I always drop it because I can see it has no context. Like when I began learning English, I did it through exposure to real content and I replaced my native language everywhere I could. It became a whole mental environment, not just little exercises. Like if someone is learning to code, doing small exercises are demotivating, one has to be constantly obsessed about all kinds of projects and technical improvements to get better at it, to the point that you're getting the small exercise reps as a consequence of something greater. Engineering reasons to do something is key to getting stuff done. It has to become unthinkable to us to not do it. We need variety of many techniques integrated in our life, it has to become a eco-system. If it's just a small little isolated thing, it requires so much protection like protecting a candle vs a wildfire. You need multiple triggers, multiple different modalities, multiple reasons fully enmeshed in your life and psyche. It's like those super math nerds, doing small math exercises for them is merely like for a gym bro to do push-ups, it's like a tiny little thing out of many things that he already does. They are like: "Oh yes my algebra skills suck, let me real quick practice over this whole week instead of reading about computer graphics or LLM architecture videos". Their whole world becomes it, they make things that looks big for a person uninvested feel very tiny and trivial, they have immense momentum. Business oriented folks are like that too, they are already doing little schemes here and there, when they see they are super weak at something like outbound sales, they are like: "Shit, I'm already spending so much on those ADs, but I learned this thing about getting people on a call so we convince them." A beginner thinks that it's such a big deal to just setup an Ad Campaign on Facebook. No... Actually, they obsess and are paralyzed about trivialities, about THE NAME of the business, that everybody knows deep down is irrelevant.

Invest at epistemology to the extent that it allows you to see the big picture but not get your head stuck on the clouds and you use it to develop leverage in the world, otherwise you will become like me in his late twenties with nothing to show for it due to many different reasons, but one of them was following intellectual pursuits at the same time harboring deep guilt of following them but not quite all the way, but also not quite following fully my monetary paths. Be careful of what we have been talking in this post here:

First of all, there are other factors that are much more important after genetics such as practical things. For example at least here where I live, if I picked a university that is literally on the other city where I must take one bus, a train, then yet another bus excluding the trip back, I might spend 6h in total per day. And that's in a metropolitan area! Tho, to be frank there is more than one university nearby that would take me just a single bus or I could even go by walking. Imagine making the mistake of choosing to go there, having to spend six fucking hours per day just on transit!!! That would be way more important than some extra 10 IQ points. Also, maybe Brazilian students if not most, THEY WORK FULL TIME JOBS while going to university AT NIGHT. Just this alone must be such a huge factor in absolutely wrecking people. Let's not even get started with their personal emotion states, and their personal inclinations. If you're somebody that doesn't care much about your area of study you will be everyday having to fight that friction. Most people they simply just have their "dopamine circuit fried" by internet content, drinking too much, wasting too much cognitive energy in unnecessary self-doubt where their minds are just wandering around about all kinds of matters instead of focusing. People with depression oftentimes cannot get rid of being highly stimulated all the time because if they do, their demons in their head attack them. How the hell will someone sit down and focus when they got to be highly stimulated all the time due to needing a high base level of stimulation? Of course there can be genetics involved, if so, a lot of people have to use meds, or they need more time meditating, or they require less stimulation, or they require to be put in an environment where they are forced to get stuff done. Why do you think rich kids with private tutors do better academically? Because they get a nanny to be with them. There are people that can't walk. They get a wheelchair. They adapt.

He has abandoned causal relationships to lean into genetic fatalism. He might have just chosen that there is an evil demon haunting him and it would have been the same. He thinks that financial market and academic results are a perfect 1:1 correlation with some unknown every-present variable: i.e. a demon, genetics, etc. Due to those things being so complex, and by taking a bell curve shape of human genetic variation, I'd bet that genetics are not his major limiting factor with regards to the comparisons he just made. Even the difference between his results and of the comparisons he made might be much smaller than what he thinks, but he's too close to see it. He is looking at genetic determinism as being binary, as it being 100% of the equation.

What actually happened was that those researchers were working on it, they were actually using AI to help them solve the boring parts, and they had published publicly their partial results so far, once they seemed to be close enough at solving the problem using a specific method that they theorized We have a hypothesis that is still contested that: OpenAI did outspend them on AI compute to arrive at the answer faster, with professional mathematics team inside of OpenAI guiding the model. LLMs have not spontaneously evolved into autonomous mathematical deities. They have not changed fundamentally. What changed is the engineering wrapper placed around them. By combining an LLM with a formal verification engine (like Lean) and scaling it across 10,000 coordinating agents doing brute-force tree search, OpenAI created an industrial-scale syntax-checker and inequality-solver. It is a massive, automated trial-and-error machine guided by linguistic heuristics, not a conscious "genius." When an LLM produces 300 billion tokens, billions of those tokens are discarded trial-and-error search waste dead-end paths. Humans do not need to generate billions of external tokens because our brain performs massive subconscious filtering before a single symbol is ever written. The advantage of LLMs is they have an external way of proving the correctness of their slop, they can outpace humans, meanwhile when humans collaborate we spend the majority of our time in communication and checking each other. If a single human consciousness could experience 88 hours as 3,000 subjective years generating and internally verifying 300 billion tokens of self-consistent thought, they would not just solve Navier–Stokes. They would likely restructure theoretical physics, solve the remaining Millennium problems, and synthesize entire branches of philosophy. My research alongside Gemini 3.8 Flash/Gemini 3.1 Pro and fact-checked with Claude Sonnet 5, and other videos from specialists that I watched as context: SOURCE OF THEIR OFFICIAL STATEMENTS: https://mathstodon.xyz/@tristanbuckmaster@mastodon.social/117233413735526010

OPENAI PROBABLY STOLE THE WORK OF A MATHEMATICIAN WORKING ON A VERY IMPORTANT UNSOLVED MATHEMATICAL PROBLEM BECAUSE IT GOT LEAKED INSIDE OF CHATGPT, AND THE AI MODEL GOT TRAINED ON IT. OpenAI claims that their unreleased state of the art model "did solve it by itself". That will be very controversial.

@CARDOZZO 🤣 Bora encher o saco deles falando português ahhahaah

Please stop beating him, he would already be dead. Let him rest in peace and not torture his soul like that.

D'accord. Bah oauis, la suprématie de la langue française est un fait. English is an abhorrent Germanic folk peasant language, romance languages are successors of the great roman empire.

I completely agree with Leo here. This is not some kind of cataclysmic improvement, just expected improvements. Nothing fundamentally changed about their architecture, I won't be holding my breath for "AGI" If AGI it happens it will be like a nuclear war anyways, no amount of hiding under the table will save anybody if you're within the blast radius.

That's not AGI, it's expected improvements. We knew it would get better, we already know that AI systems can do spatial reasoning in video generators, anybody not seeing it coming is silly. But it didn't change fundamentally how LLMs operate, it still has the same issues, and it doesn't need true AGI to disrupt society and work at all. Human technology is always moving towards efficiency in all areas, people just get to operate in higher-level abstractions. A 3D graphics designer crying about it is like a bricklayer crying about pre-made concrete slabs. Now you just work with concrete slabs, you still need people and capital to put together the slabs. We might get AGI, but this isn't it yet, and incremental improvements will be extremely disruptive, but it won't be a cataclysmic replacement.

Maybe he has a fail-deadly instead of fail-safe plan, where he would rather have the brand dying if he dies, rather than letting it become a corrupt zombie without him overseeing. We definitely need efforts at downloading his public content and making backups (trivial from YouTube using a good youtube downloader). Even the forum's content can be scrapped. Most internet forums from a couple of decades ago never got archived and are long-gone.

Yes that's right, most people are very short-sightened. That's because of a mix of greed and short-sightedness. In fact, I'd say that their comparisons are pretty self-limiting, because when I compare myself, I compare to what is possible for me going forward. I'm that poor person from a third world. But I'm not starving poor living at a slum neither or in a war zone. (Brazil, which let's be frank, it's not North Korea, Ukraine, or Sudan facing a civil war), I do compare myself to international standards, I don't feel that much envy at all for local highly paid local workers (i.e. if I got myself a degree in the area that I have affinity which is programming) because I know they are making at best what is considered minimum wage in the USA, even though with corrected local prices it puts them at middle-class lifestyle similar to an American (excluding international travel and their cars are slightly worse). Even if I got a job at a top tech company in the USA/Europe, that payment is not good related to the local living costs AND in building enough wealth fast enough to be able to keep that same lifestyle for decades without accepting that it's a given that I'll have to whore out my time to what seems to be an eternity of my healthy years of life. Although a lot of people can, and do all the time work at high-paying economies, live very below their standards, save on money and move to a cheaper economy/region (maybe even in their own countries. i.e. moving from New York to a smaller city) Personally, there are certain countries that I wouldn't move just to save on taxes/living costs because I don't like them. In fact, as someone aiming online business, living in what is so called "more prestigious wealthy FIRST WORLD" is actually damaging to that goal due to higher living costs not allowing me to reinvest as much money as I could. (Although, I do wanna visit Europe, north America, New Zealand. I'm just talking about the costs of living in my specific plans and my specific stage) But taking in account international standards of all the pricing arbitrage that they could be doing it will not lead them into having full economic sovereignty of their paid monthly expenses taken from let's say for the sake of simplification: A principal lump sum with an investment portfolio of let's say a realistic 4-12% of annualized returns (above inflation) with some drawdown limited for the next decades of their life until their death, that would allow them to live off from that money without having to stress out about anything, so that they can dedicate their times to anything they want regardless of financial returns. Even expecting returns with regards to several decades is dubious due to black swan / unknown future events and market drawdowns. Comparing myself to people that don't even have the same goals, personality and risk profile is bad. I used to have a chick once that liked me she would do comparisons all the time with peers and was strategically handicap and would be extremely sad and had extremely weird internal calibration for risk, like in some moments she would be extremely risk averse, in others she would be extremely greedy and risky, would blow up money on eating out when her online store made more money, and would get depressed ant not work on it when the returns would go low. People shot themselves in the feet like that, that's the reason for personal development, it's not to guarantee returns, it's to make sure you act according to good principles no matter if you think you are above or below a certain arbitrary threshold, it has to actually be based on a coherent strategy for yourself. It's not a guarantee of returns, it's a guarantee that you won't fuck up your behavior if you're doing great (overspending) or when you're doing bad (being short-sighted only thinking of now). --- This is my whole point, those comparisons people make most of the times are actively making them strategically blind to basic economic facts about their strengths and true weaknesses, at least when it comes to this specific point. I think our comparisons needs to be realistic about what we can do looking forwards, that's a healthy form of greed. Status anxiety / comparison with others nearby is one of the biggest psych-ops that keeps people from getting dirty rich. It keeps wealthier people spending like pigs, and poor people mentally overwhelmed and with learned helplessness. Again, there are no results garante, we can only reap the benefits that our resources and environment can give us related to our actions obviously. Our economies are actually setup pretty unfairly. Not sure how bad that is about a Dutch guy that is roughly my height living there, vs me with that height, which is considered average in my country, which obviously is above the height of most woman.

If LLMs continuing improving even if at modest pace, it will be the most impactful technology, we tend towards automating everything, and better AI systems will allow for things that are currently impossible to automate. History of technology is about automation/removing humans and resource's bottleneck, that's a given that will never change.

My point is that this a very finicky perspective from an epistemological perspective, you can slice up this problem in so many ways, if you slice it just at the wrong angle you make yourself feel miserable... If you slice it just a bit to the side, you will be dancing naked on the beach with overflowing joy. This is a losing game. Even specifically what you're saying about "your friends getting more". Why are you so bothered? There are people outside of your circle that literally just turn on a camera and shake their butt to a camera and they get paid millions, why are you not comparing with them instead and being jealous of their butt? YOUR FRIENDS ARE "LOSERS" COMPARED TO JEFF BEZOS. THE CHANCES THEY CAN BEAT JEFF ARE WORSE THAN WINNING THE LOTTERY. (I might be wrong with this, if I'm wrong, you're actually lucky to have such friends, network with them) I'm saying this because those are questions that I asked myself as well, again, this is a losing game those comparisons and this is defeatism. EVERY SINGLE DEFEASTIST IDEOLOGY OUT THERE USES THE SAME TALKING POINTS. They take something that you can't change easily and they project that as the only source of all of your problems, just to distract you from actually minding your own business. --- JUST ASK MORE SPECIFIC QUESTIONS. IF YOU ARE NOT SPECIFIC ENOUGH WITH YOUR QUESTIONS AND YOU USE BROAD GENERALIZATIONS LIKE THAT, THAT WILL DESTROY WITH YOUR ABILITY OF DISCERNMENT. What specifically do you even know about your friends? Do you even care about what they care? Don't use the same measurement stick to compare bananas with oranges.

Bro, you're alive in the in the 21st century, you are functionally enough to be able to read and write in english, you have access to the internet, you're not a slave in literal chains. You're ahead of literally over 99.9% of all humans that ever existed, and you are comparing yourself to "your friends"? Why don't we all compare ourselves with Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk? Most of mankind died as a child, if they survived, they were raised as illiterate peasants and would die of Infectious diseases like malaria.

It's all about the physical constraints of the universe It's all about the conditions of this planet, it's cosmic and geologically lucky history and our moment in time (A few billion years too early and you get eaten by a dino, too late the sun has destroyed the atmosphere) It's all about not being in chains as a slave It's all about not having a debilitating illness It's all about a nuclear weapon not dematerializing our body It's all about not having a car accident and not having brain damage It's all about not being abandoned as a child in a literal dumpster It's all about having the genetics of a functionally viable human, not of a fruit fly, a dog, or any other animal or living being of this planet, having physical, legal and monetary freedom.

Social introversion bias is not the same as low social skills. Look at Alex Becker channel on YouTube (110M+ networth) for example, he says he's an introvert, he doesn't want to dance his ass for the rest of his life on his youtube channel as his income generating activity, that's why most of his money came from his ad tracking company called "Hyros". The nuanced point I'm making is that for an introvert person, something like "social skills" may seem like just like a single thing. It's not. A lot about social skills is just improving internal emotional regulation and removal of social inhibitions. Removal of social inhibitions is not the same as high social intelligence, there are plenty of people that are very loud and with low inhibition but they are doing it from an ungrounded place of need that doesn't translate into socially integrating in all environments. Think of the high school bullies or the students on the back they were very loud and did appear to befriend everyone. Did they actually befriend everyone? No, they were just befriending the other loud low-conscious idiots. Social skills are actually feeling high in the social hierarchy, feeling that felt sense of interpersonal status to be high so that you don't feel like you are less than anybody. That automatically removes inhibitions and lets you act and feel with less fears. Somethings about social skills are merely logistical and financial barriers as well, like if you think you're dressed like shit or you think you're lesser than others, it will make you self-conscious and you will fuck up in social situations, in a business call, etc. That really takes inner game and outer game, it takes rehiring limiting beliefs and weird pet hypothesis about other people and emotionally learning through exposure if hypothesis are true or not as well. Removing that inhibition there alongside being grounded as fuck, that's modern apex predator vibes. By being grounded I mean: Being aware of the environment, other people around you and their intents and emotions and being calibrated and thinking alongside them right there, instead of being in our heads with our arms crossed feeling socially low status or fearful or unable to get ease from their presence. When we are fearful we lose flow state and we physically can't even think, our intelligence drops to a passive object. Obviously it also takes THEORY, it takes REALPOLITIK/Machiavellianism, knowing the game-theoretic aspects of the interaction, its expectations, what cards the other person has on their hand, what beliefs they hold, how you can bargain with them, etc. This last point is not like kids playing with each other, where they are just "being socially inhabited". We can be social but still be naive of the complex dynamics, that's yet another point.