Nak Khid

Orgasm is merely a heroin addiction. Nature floods the system with dopamine for several seconds at the point of orgasm. It feels good. So animals, humans included pursue this and the feeling leads to procreation of the species

thanks

name one

Some of his recent speeches looked good, maybe he is on some improved medication

Compared to the other democratic candidates joe Biden worries me because of those dementia like bouts he has. And he takes for granted people will votes for him if he lays low. But eventually he may be forced to debate Trump and I don't know how that is going to go. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/opinion/biden-trump-debate.html NYTimes Biden Should Not Debate Trump Unless … Here are two conditions the Democrat should set. By Thomas L. Friedman

Please show me a credible article that cites polls have a good rates of predicting outcomes on elections These polls change from week to week. This other system based on primary results is not fleeting like that. It is based on actual voting and and statistics on incumbency Week after week we hear Biden has an edge. I'm saying, not to support Trump, I'm saying be careful because complacency or taking things for granted may lead to a shock on election day. This is a different methodology. I would like to see someone who has a credible detail critique challenging the claims made about accuracy in predicted the winner of every national election since 1912, except for too very close elections. and this new prediction is not a close prediction it's a 91% estimate. We have to be careful of only listening to what we want to hear. Biden said to black talk show host Charlemagne " 'If you have a problem figuring out whether you're for me or Trump, then you ain't black" That is taking things for granted and when that is done things may not turn out as expected

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/09/why-2016-election-polls-missed-their-mark/ Pew Research Center, 2016 Why 2016 election polls missed their mark The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state election polling, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump. How could the polls have been so wrong about the state of the election? There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support. With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote. State-level polling was more variable, but there were few instances where polls overstated Trump’s support.

Go back to my post pleas I added biographical on Helmut Norpoth as well as this: If you go to his website you can see more about the modelling. This model, which he introduced in 1996, would have correctly predicted the outcome of all but two presidential elections in the last 108 years: “This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced.” The exceptions include John F. Kennedy’s election in 1960 (very close) and George W. Bush’s election in 2000, when Bush won a majority of the electoral college despite losing the popular vote. http://primarymodel.com If what he is saying is true should we ignore it just because we don't like it? --or prepare for it ? Polls are notoriously wrong on outcomes and pundits are opinions. This method or may not be accurate but it is based on statistical data and mathematical calculations and this professor has been doing it a long time. Conservative agenda? I do not see evidence of that in his background and people can also review his methodology in detail

So there are some others, chat AIs that are free or you can pay to use. I don't know much about them put this one I mentioned before anybody can go directly to the link and use, no sign up or anything. It has all the answers to life's questions P-bot http://p-bot.ru/en/

Joe Biden "Corn Pop" Story FULL Segment This is worrisome ,very weird Biden gaffs from Sep 17 I wish a Democrat had been elected didn't have these bouts of dementia

If true this is a big wake up call do those who think Biden is doing well. He is s Storybook professor not their employee or someone who is promoting conservative agendas. If what he is saying is reality it's better to understand that rather than take it for granted Biden is going to win and then you get a shock if he loses. This model says primaries and incumbent advantage are the accurate predictors of elections not polls Disregard that the interview is on a right wing channel, they simply like what he's saying. His statistical model is based on primary result and seems to be a lot more accurate than polls in predicting elections ____________________________ Helmut Norpoth (born 1943) is an American political scientist and professor of political science at Stony Brook University. Norpoth is best known for developing the Primary Model, which has correctly predicted five of the six previous US elections.[1] The Primary Model correctly predicted Donald Trump's victory in the 2016 election. Helmut Norpoth is co-author of The American Voter Revisited, University of Michigan Press (May 22, 2008) covering the images of presidential candidates, party identification, and why Americans turn out to vote. He has also written a book about public reactions to British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, especially her economic and foreign policies. Norpoth has designed models to forecast elections in the U.S., Britain, and Germany. His Primary Model correctly predicted Obama's re-election as early as February of 2012 and correctly predicted that Donald Trump would be the next President of the United States. EDUCATION PhD and MA, The University of Michigan BA, The Free University of Berlin BOOKS The American Voter Revisited, University of Michigan Press (May 22, 2008) Unsurpassed: The Popular Appeal of Franklin Roosevelt by Helmut Norpoth | Aug 27, 2018 Politics and Government in Europe Today by Colin Campbell, Helmut Norpoth, et al. | Nov 1, 1994 Analysis of Variance (Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences) by Gudmund R. Iversen and Helmut P. Norpoth | Jul 1, 1987 http://primarymodel.com The PRIMARY MODEL gives President Donald Trump a 91% chance of winning the 2020 presidential election, with Democrat Joe Biden having just a 9% chance. Trump would get 362 electoral votes, Biden 176. This forecast is unconditional and final; hence not subject to any updating. It was first posted March 2, 2020, on Twitter. In 2016, when polls, pundits and forecasters were all predicting a certain victory for Hillary Clinton, the PRIMARY MODEL was practically alone in predicting Donald Trump’s victory. It did so as early as March 7 that year, putting his chance of winning at 87%. http://primarymodel.com/2016-forecast-full. It is a statistical model that relies on presidential primaries and, in addition, on an election cycle as predictors of the vote in the general election. This year the model has been calibrated to predict the Electoral College vote. For the record, the PRIMARY MODEL picks the winner of 25 out of 27 elections since 1912, when presidential primaries were introduced. The misses are 1960, one of the closest presidential elections, and 2000, when the late count in Florida handed Bush the victory; still Al Gore wound up winning the popular vote. Winning the early primaries is a major key for electoral victory in November. On the Democratic side, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders split the primaries in New Hampshire and South Carolina while Trump handily won the Republican Primary in New Hampshire (the GOP primary in South Carolina was cancelled this year). What favors Trump in 2020 as well is the cycle of presidential elections operating for nearly 200 years, as illustrated by the snapshot since 1960. After one term in the White House the incumbent party is favored to win re-election unlike the situation when it has held office for two or more terms. As for Trump, trailing Democratic contenders is nothing new for him. He was behind Hillary Clinton in polls at just about every moment in 2016 and wound up winning the election. This was by no means the rare exception that proves the rule. The terrain of presidential contests is littered with nominees who saw a poll lead in the spring turn to dust in the fall. The list is long and discouraging for early frontrunners. Beginning with Dewey (1948) it spans Nixon (1960), Carter (1980), Dukakis (1988), Bush (1992), and Kerry (2004), to cite just the most spectacular cases. Warning: Polls in the spring are barely better than a coin flip to predict the winner in November. _______________________________________________________________________________ Norpoth's model has accurately predicted the winner of every national election since 1912, The Statesman reports, except the election of 1960. One of the closest elections in U.S. history, John F. Kennedy bested Richard Nixon by 0.17 percent or 112,827 votes.

I don't know , havent look around the site: http://p-bot.ru/en/ I was looking at the GPT-3 site, can you just go right to a site and start asking questions? I couldn't figure out how to get there The only thing I don't like about P-bot is that it doesn't keep previous dialogue on the screen well There used to be A.L.I.C.E. but I couldn't find an active link to it https://blog.hubspot.com/marketing/best-ai-chatbot Best AI Chatbots 2020 Watson Assistant Bold360 Rulai LivePerson Inbenta Ada Vergic ______________________________ P-bot http://p-bot.ru/en/ ___________________________________ I haven't looked into all these, would be interested, in free ones that you can directly go in to easily and start asking questions __________________________

http://p-bot.ru/en/

How do you know you're not hallucinating that you're hallucinating ? thus realizing reality? > double negative = positive

I don't know

So the next night he gave DMT to a friend (or did he also hallucinate the friend also? )

The point of the video is that what he says was not in him because his friend say the same purple woman and ferris wheel. This means the had both seen through a portal to a carnival

Nouriel Roubini (born March 29, 1958) is an American economist.He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is chairman of Roubini Macro Associates LLC, an economic consultancy firm. Roubini is known as Dr Doom for predicting the global financial crisis of 2008 years before it happened. Today Roubini sees a confluence of factors that could lead to a decade of instability around the world, as companies are forced to spend less on labour costs, and people get stuck in the "gig economy", without formal employment or benefits. Roubini said that rising stock market indices are not necessarily a good sign for the economy at large; rather, "What's good for Wall Street is bad for Main Street". After receiving a BA in political economics at Bocconi University, Milan and a doctorate in international economics at Harvard University, Roubini became an academic at Yale and a visiting researcher/advisor at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Federal Reserve, World Bank, and Bank of Israel. Much of his early research focused on emerging markets. During the administration of President Bill Clinton, he was a senior economist for the Council of Economic Advisers, later moving to the United States Treasury Department as a senior adviser to Timothy Geithner, who was Treasury Secretary under Barack Obama.

what percentage of your savings is gold? Do you consider it just an investment or do you think it's also a hedge for financial collapse. Warren Buffett isn't a fan of gold.

description from video in opening post (speaker is Sheik Lokman Efendi, a Sufi scholar ) Lokman Efendi is reminding us that Alhumdulilahi Rabbil Alameen, we have a Masjid here established in the Catskill Mountains (New York) so that we can worship and make the Zikrullah with no fear of repression or censorship. What are the Masjids and who maintains them? The Osmanli Dergahi was established under the leadership of our Shaykh, Sahib us-Sayf Shaykh Abdulkerim el Kibrisi (qs) in order for Believers in this Ahir Zaman to escape from the dunya to the cleanliness of the mountains, as advised by the Prophet (S). Now-a-days, there are some masjids where the 'board members' of these houses of worship are accepting all wrong ideologies primarily for financial support and benefit. Alhumdulilah, the Osmanli Dergahi is not one of those places. The Believers must be in these troublesome days like snakes who quickly leave and quickly return to their homes in order to stay away from the sedition outside. For that, we are thankful that we have the Osmanli Dergahi where fitnah will forever remain outside, Insha'Allah Rahman. . , Q&A: "What is the Naksibendi Silsila and some of its beliefs?" -- Lokman Efendi https://osmanligarden.tumblr.com/osmanlidergah NAKSIBENDI HAKKANI WAY AND OSMANLI DERGAHI-NY Naksibendi (Naqshbandi) Sufi Zawiya in the Catskill Mountains, New York The job and responsibilites of the sheykh cannot be enumerated or imagined- he heals those with spiritual, psycological, or emotional illnesses, trains others to help him and prepare us all for the coming events of these End of Times. The usual day begins with the dawn worship and while waiting for the sun to rise the followers share those few holy moments with the sheykh where he may give a discourse, questions may be asked to him, or he may listen and interpret dreams. Dreamwork is an important aspect of a follower’s journey. Some chose to rest after sunrise, to meditate, or to start working. The day continues with work around the farm punctuated with noon and afternoon prayers. All work ceases at sunset. The followers join the sheykh for the evening prayers, dinner is served and a silent remembrance ceremony is held. After that tea and sweets are served while the sheykh continues his discourses. Live classical Ottoman music is played on the oud, poetry often recited and some may choose to whirl. Humor is extremely important in the center and often the sheykh would joke and laugh with us or at us, to increase our self-awareness. The year is filled with holy days and nights, festivals, and commemorations and they are observed at the center. Visitors from all over the world periodically make their visit here, while those who do not live in the center visit during the weekends. All desire to associate with the sheykh and other followers and to disassociate themselves from the world. ____________________________ Naqshbandiyah , is a major Sunni spiritual order of Sufism. It got its name from Baha-ud-Din Naqshband Bukhari __________________________________________________________________________________

He has more credentials that the typical doom economist on youtube who is promoting gold My the way what is your opinion of having a certain percentage of gold in savings - and can it be digital gold or does it have to be physical?

psychedelic populism

Recently I've come across two arguments against the right that every citizen should have the right to vote 1) people should have the right to vote only if they are educated enough 2) people should only have the right to vote if they pay taxes or in some way put money or labor into the economy, otherwise there are just takers and vote form that perspective Both of these ideas have some logic but also raise a lot of worries about marginalization and unfairness and could be too easily corrupted in their implementation.

Do you know any of Pema Chödrön's book who was for a time a student of Trungpa?

There are two main forms of mediation in Theravada. Samatha which is concentration meditations where you become tranquil by shutting things out by focusing on something, such as the breathing or in other traditions chanting or thinking a word or phrase repetitiously. Vipassana is not focusing on one thing. It is being aware of the moment, all thoughts , feelings, physical sensations and taking note of them. You call each one out (mentally) "yes I I see you" then you let is pass So if you focus on thoughts that are alluring that might fit into Samantha but in Vipassana you are not supposed to cling to anything including pleasant thoughts or sensations. So everything comes and goes. You notice a pain in your back, you notice boredom, you notice a feeling of peacefulness, you notice a bad memory, you notice a good memory, you notice the urge to do a bad habit. So if the thought of a doing a bad habit comes up you note it and then let it pass and it may come and go several times. So does the meditation resolve the bad habit? Not necessarily. It could make you more aware of a problem but it might not solve it. You might need some therapy techniques to control it, some things that might be out of the Vipassana Monks have it easier. They out themselves in a situation where a lot of the temptations are removed. In Thailand they allow you to be a monk for short periods like a few months a year (but say goodbye to the hair) Anyway the Goeneka based retreats also do that but you are doing a lot of meditation already and could try living like that for a while. If you don;t like it you could quit and return to your digital art. However as for the bad habits (what are they?) you said you are "using meditation as a semi escape from my bad habits" so the best thing for you may not be deserving between mediation and digital art but addressing those bad habits directly. You may need somebody to help you who specializes in that. In the mean time some self hypnosis techniques can be powerful. The subconscious is in a better wave state just before sleep and just after. Try this for a minimum of four days either right before you go to sleep or add to it at the end. Should not take long. In a question and command form "Can I stop____________and__________and____________ ? (put the habits here) and then "Yes, stop___________and___________and" Mark 40 lines end point on a piece of paper. So write "Can I stop smoking and drinking? Yes, stop smoking and drinking" 40 times and as you do it say it out loud (normal volume) Then you go to sleep. Wake up and do it again write after you wake up. You will start to see result then continue doing it, a month to make it stick so you don't slide back. This should be done gung ho commitment. You can also add to it a meditation where you focus on this thought. These should be real bad habit not asceticism of thing that most people would not say are bad habits. the subconscious mind is like a dog and responds to repetition. Speak it and writing at at the same time also reinforces it. Shinzen, the will known Zen Buddhist who trained in monasteries had to get some conventional therapy for some bad habits. Being an expert meditator was not enough. And a therapist or therapeutic hypnotist and also be somewhat of an accountability partner. IF you try the above , you mark each day you do it on a calendar. Those are links in a chain. After a month you may feel like you defeated your habits but three month later, you are getting some urges, you have been around the wring people. Then you must remove yourself from the environment and go back to this technique or with an expert who specializes. You are looking at two things meditation and art. But there is a third thing, the habits and that needs direct attention because that can destroy the other two eventually.