Raze

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Everything posted by Raze

  1. Iran can already make nukes in a week if it wanted to. Bombing them will just send them deeper underground to make them. Other Arab states are currently not direct enemies of Israel. They could also just get them from another country like Russia or North Korea. Even if they didn’t get nukes large missiles pose enough of a threat to require the Samson option if there is a full scale war.
  2. The USA can get israel to do whatever it wants in theory, so it could just threaten to remove all aid or sanction them unless it changes things, but Israel has a large lobby in the USA which influences which politicians get into power so only ones that listen to Israel get in government. Because liberal Zionist’s won’t work with the Israeli Arab minority as they don’t want racial change in Israel, I think that the messianic Zionist’s will slowly win due to having larger numbers, but this will overtime erode international support, so without having US pressure to fall back israel start to will rely on using its nuclear threat, which will cause other middle eastern countries to get nukes which make their enemies get nukes, and since Arab states have major internal issues which will get worse due to climate change some will collapse and be replaced by anti-Israel zealots radicalized by current events, since messianic zionists believe the state of Israel expanding and destroying the famous Al Aqsa mosque is part of the end times to bring back the messiah this will result in more large military confrontations. The now weakened Israeli military won’t be able to definitively beat them and won’t political change course due to messianic religious beliefs, so they’ll use the Samson optiom.
  3. Some liberal Zionist’s support eventually creating a Palestinian state. However it’s less possible now because Gaza is destroyed, settlers moved into the West Bank, and Israel has a growing amount of messianic zionists who believe Israel needs to expand outwards and take those lands among others. And neither liberal nor messianic zionists support a one state solution where Israel annexes the land but gives Palestinians equal rights because then the Palestinian population will be half the country and it won’t be a state where Jews are in majority control. In addition Palestinians will resist it and then world opinion turns against Israel, which also causes wealthier Jews who tend to be liberal Zionist’s to leave making messianic Zionist’s more influential, but Israel needs support from western governments to maintain its military strength which they can lose if world opinion shifts enough away from them.
  4. Doing it all at once is impossible, they acknowledged that. source: https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/06/middleeast/israeli-minister-smotrich-starve-gazans-intl/index.html But instead they do it slowly over time. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/urging-occupation-smotrich-says-voluntary-migration-could-halve-gazas-population-in-2-years/
  5. If anything it’s the reverse, prior to Oct 7 israel admitted it blockaded Gaza to keep the economy on the brink of collapse, continued to detain hundreds of Palestinians in prison without charges and refused to engage in any negotiation to release them, and continued expanding West Bank settlements, and even funded hamas themselves to hurt the PA’s negotiation position to end settlements. The goal is to keep slowly crushing them and when they occasionally lash out start rapidly crushing them until there aren’t any left.
  6. It’s from a Israeli psychologist who did a study interviewing idf soldiers. It does match similar accounts at the time. https://archive.ph/JxOc8 https://archive.ph/YuLU6
  7. That passage was from the first intifada, before hamas started staging attacks.
  8. https://www.udemy.com/course/copingwithtinnitus/
  9. Dan Osborn was an independent who nearly beat a Republican in a solid red district.
  10. He posted on Twitter saying he was exaggerating for attention and admitted to having egomania. The way he was abused sounds nightmarish, all things considered he is well adjusted for someone who went through that.
  11. You should suggest to him resources to learn game so he can find a prettier new wife. Italy has sky high infidelity rates so his ex wife may get karma eventually.
  12. All settlements from Israel are illegal. Israel doesn’t allow Palestinians to build the vast majority of the time, when they do it outside the law to have somewhere to live it gets demolished.
  13. Because that stopped before I was born. If Israel wasn’t demolishing Palestinian homes and gave them citizenship like Jordan then we can talk. In the mean time the occupation and settlements is torturing millions of Palestinians and puts Israelis at risk for when they try to defend themselves.
  14. It isn’t in dispute, it is occupied.
  15. It isn’t just the UN, it’s every international body of relevance. Expelling locals to build settlements on occupied land was classified as a war crime under the Geneva conventions. Even the Supreme Court of Israel has ruled it http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/legal-expert-if-israel-isn-t-occupying-west-bank-it-must-give-up-land-held-by-idf-1.449909 Jordan wanted the West Bank to be part of Jordan and gave the Palestinians Jordanian citizenship.
  16. Every Israeli settlement in the West Bank is illegal under international law
  17. The PA hasn’t staged an attack on Israelis in a decade and has been collaborating with Israel for years. Yet they continued to expand settlements.
  18. No they weren’t. The aid is tracked and there are plenty of detailed reports showing where it is going. What Hamas takes is a small drop in the bucket of the damage the blockade does. Leaked emails from Israeli officials admit the blockade is designed to keep the economy on the brink of collapse. Being normal and good would mean accepting the norms set by the rest of the world and what is considered the legal and moral choice by international courts, and the entire rest of the world and major international courts have been saying israel needs to give Palestinians self determination and end the blockade and stop expanding settlements.
  19. It didn’t help because it barely made a dent. Gaza was still on the verge of being unlivable, and as I said earlier violence in the West Bank was escalating. At the same time israel was trying to normalize with Saudi Arabia and the Muslim world without resolving the Palestine issue, meaning the Palestinians could be trapped with even less political support to negotiate freedom. So Hamas attacked to interrupt it, and to get hostages to negotiate the release of thousands of Palestinian prisoners. Hamas is an Islamist Group, but they said the motivations for the attack and it’s not religious. You don’t have to be religious to resist horrific conditions, the PLO was a secular nationalist movement and resisted for decades. And your final point is more correct then you know, when the need for violent resistance is gone so usually goes the resistance, when apartheid ended in South Africa the militant group resistant it dissolved and became a political party.
  20. When Hamas won the election they offered a long term ceasefire in exchange for lifting the blockade https://www.theguardian.com/world/2006/nov/01/israel Instead Israel tried to violently overthrow them and when it failed made the blockade even harsher to crush the economy. Independent analysis from groups like the world bank and UNCTAD consistently find what makes Gazans miserable is the crushing blockade. In the West Bank they face constant demolitions and violence, over 800 have been killed by IDF or settlers since Oct 7 https://www.ochaopt.org/data/demolition They have no means to defend themselves legally because they don’t have rights, and they can’t defend themselves through armed resistance because Israel will do what they do in Gaza. the Israeli government doesn’t have a right to control the lives of people who have no influence on its actions, and continue to take their land and expel them from it. You can’t justify it by saying that if they get freedom they might attack, by that logic no oppressed groups would ever be given freedom. And currently people are being attacked, the Palestinians by the israelis. examples like these occur constantly: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7Js0caPhMY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SASvtv4q9js https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/palestinian-girl-killed-west-bank-was-looking-out-window-her-father-says-2024-09-04/ If Israel tries to overthrow their government and completely crush their economy like they did in Gaza, they definitely will attack. But if they were actually given equal rights or at least a state so they could have self determination, most of the reason to fight would be gone.