Raze

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Everything posted by Raze

  1. There were rumors israel was planning on attacking Iran again, however it was reported Israel indicated to Iran through Russia they would not attack them, Iran agreed to not strike them. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/01/14/israel-iran-russia-secret-messages/ However then protests erupted in Iran and Israel seemingly activated sleeper cells, Israeli officials now admit they armed protestors It’s reported at least 100+ Iranian security forces were killed and Iran cracked down hard with reports of 500-2000 killed protestors. A pro-Israel group is claiming it is 12-20,000 but there is no evidence of this. Trump said he would air strike Iran if the protestors were fired on and said they crossed his red line and has cut off diplomatic communications with Iran. Reports are that currently no one in the White House is telling him not to strike with Rubio (major israel lobby recipient) urging him to air strike Iran. However gulf states and Turkey are apparently urging him not to for fear Iran will strike their territory due to their US bases and Irans regime collapse could turn into a failed state and civil war like Syria causing a massive refugee crisis. Most Syrian refugees ended up in the gulf states, turkey, and Europe, Israel accepted essentially none. Currently Israel is reportedly saying they expect the US to strike however actually cautioned strikes as they fear the regime isn’t currently weak enough that strikes would collapse it. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-want-military-action-iran-swift-decisive-sources-say-rcna254076 Polling data finds most Americans are against strikes as of now
  2. https://www.thenosleeppodcast.com/episodes/s12/12x25 https://www.thenosleeppodcast.com/episodes/s1/bonus-penpal-i https://www.thenosleeppodcast.com/episodes/s1/bonus-penpal-ii
  3. Background: Nick Fuentes was an far-right influencer, he claims he was more into mainstream conservatism when he got an intense cancellation getting banned from most social media, banks, and even being put on the no fly list. He formed an online community called Groypers which has grown his fame by raiding mainstream conservative events. In 2024 he dramatically increased in popularity seeming to stem from discontent towards republican policies particularly foreign policy and spread of conspiracy theories and seems to expand more after the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Recently Tucker Carlson did an interview with Fuentes. Immediately there was major push back accusing Tucker of promoting antisemitism and nazism due to Fuentes past comments. The republican jewish coalition hosted an event denouncing Fuentes and Tucker. The heritage foundation initially made a statement standing with Tucker, but later apologized and back tracked. My Analysis: - This will help Fuentes. He thrives when he can paint an image of being the truth teller the establishment is repressing. Seeing so much backlash will just prove to his fan base his theories about Jewish control and censorship in America are true. His streams already saw a major uptick in views https://rumble.com/v716you-america-first-ep.-1590.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp_a - The Zionist republicans against the groypers seem to be trying to counter them by increasing hatred towards Muslims. At the anti Tucker event they let Randy Fine do a speech where he threatened to deport Mamdani. This will fail, most of the anti muslim theories without censorship evolve into anti Jewish theories. For example on Twitter many accounts like Gad Saad which pushed theories about Muslims secretly taking over Europe and claimed censorship was blocking this truth are now asking for more censorship because their accounts get flooded with replies and harassment from groypers blaming Jews for it. - Long term, I think he will fail. The fear is he will be the next trump and dictate the future of the conservative movement. But the difference is while Trump had a lot of positive fame due to his time as a celebrity, Fuentes is less famous and has negative fame due to his past extremist statements. Unlike Trump, Fuentes can only make enemies. For example influencers like Candace Owens and Milo Yianoppolus are closest to him in beliefs, but they all hate each other. While the groypers have gained online influence, they have no actual power base and can’t reach people outside of the terminally online. He seems aware of this, as he recently called for his followers to increase infiltration - There will be an uptick in violence Groypers are expanding among young people seemingly in line with psychological degradation similar to the rise in the woke left. Both of these groups are more open to the use of violence. Blaming minorities like Jews for societal issues is also a sign of civilizational decline, in this case it’s accelerated by the actual influence operations and lobbying israel does and intense repression it pushed for its critics adding fuel to people spreading these beliefs. EDIT: https://rumble.com/v718mss-america-first-ep.-1591.html?e9s=src_v1_cbl%2Csrc_v1_ucp_a I watched his most recent stream. I may have been wrong about my skepticism if he’ll win. Here his speech counters and expands most of the points I predicted. He uses the repression to justify his beliefs, brags about his influence and tells his followers to begin infiltration and organization over spreading the message, and even suggests he will let go of feuds with others.
  4. You have no idea how these polls work. Somewhat support is always counted into support. The poll itself does this. All polls that tell you how many support a proposal do this. Your quoted source is asking from among many different options and single payer is still the most popular one. That doesn’t mean only 35% support it, many may prefer something else ideally but will still support it over the alternative given.
  5. Trump just had a in person meeting with Mamdani. Despite previously calling him a dangerous communist, and Mamdani during the meeting saying yes when asked if trump is fascist and accusing Israel of genocide, Trump mostly ignored this and was very warm and friendly towards him Interestingly most democrats in congress just voted on a measure to condemn socialism, whereas in this meeting Trump a fault said he’d be fine living in New York governed by the democratic socialist Mamdani
  6. Because we are discussing winning elections. No, you are supposed to add up strongly support with regular support for overall support. Ok, here’s another one https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_haeOEK5.pdf What you’re saying makes no sense. There are many different issues and it’s job for the democrat leadership to get the rest to fall in line and if they don’t apply pressure.
  7. Irrelevant, they are popular federal programs. That is 36% who strongly support, 29% also somewhat support, totaling 65% Your poll is from years ago and also says the other 58% say they support a public option. Which Biden ran on then never attempted to pass. If you can’t pass something you won running on which has 58% support you are incompetent. Trump literally gets republicans and some democrats to regularly vote for things 70% of Americans are against.
  8. So you think the new deal, social security, Medicare, public school, obamacare, were all mistakes that hurt the left? https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11/medicare-for-all-is-popular-even-when-put-up-against-attacks
  9. - I didn’t say single payer, I said public option - the US is far wealthier than the other countries that have single payer, the idea we couldn’t do it makes no sense - Because state based changes are different from federal based changes, some things cannot be done unless from a top down level - by your logic we should have never done a single federal program because it should just come from a city level - The president can apply pressure to get votes for something, if you can’t pass a popular proposal you are incompetent. Biden simply never wanted to and just lied about supporting public option because he knew it would help him get elected.
  10. There is nothing fanatical about programs that are less extreme than ones successfully implemented in Canada, the UK, etc. Biden himself implemented some so called fanatical programs like the child credit but let them run out while people got wrecked from inflation making his position worse. Biden even ran on things like the public option because he knew it was popular, but just didn’t follow through.
  11. Because if he does a strike and nothing changes or it gets worse that would be a show of weakness. His advisors told him doing that would make Iran ramp up killings and israel said they don’t think a strike is enough to collapse the country as of now.
  12. Note: (this post is NOT about Clavicular, please do not remove it for being a repost as he just is incidentally in the interaction, the focus is the others in interaction) The PUA John Anthony Lifestyle and self help guru Owen Cook both ran into the recently viral controversial streamer Clavicular. But what ended up happening is it gave us a great example of the difference between weak frame and strong frame. This is a hard thing to grasp for guys learning to improve their game, so it’s a great test to see. Here is John’s interaction: Here is Owen’s interaction (first minute and 30 seconds of this video, you can stop watching after it) The difference could not be starker and could not better show how weak vs strong frames behave in the wild. In Owen’s case notice his entire vibe is in some ways flippant, jokey, and relaxed, he clearly does not care and is just having his own fun. However at the same time he is engaged, as a result you can see Clavicular and his friends acknowledge him and show respect. Despite being polar opposites he maintains his own authority but without stepping on their toes and triggering a backlash. But compare that to John. Right away he goes in with a combative frame, but pathetically he crumbles at the slightest pushback and immediately tries qualifying himself by bragging about his lay count. Clavicular and his friends laugh in his face at how stupid and pathetic he is. Another thing to notice is his wife, as the interaction progresses her body language turns away from John and she starts getting closer to Clavicular and his friends, smiling at them and reaching towards them. This is because women subconsciously register who is the person seeking validation in an interaction and who they are seeking it from and register that person as the dominant leader and immediately feel more drawn to them. In this case Johns own wife is subconsciously repulsed by the pathetic behavior of a almost 40 year old man desperately qualifying himself to random punk 19 year olds on the street. John then makes it worse by actually following them to talk more. He now claims he didn’t realize who clavicular was, this makes it even more pathetic because it means he wasn’t even qualifying himself to a internet celebrity but actually who he thought was some random punk kid. Though in his defense he’s probably lying. He basically begs for a collaboration at that point and they finally give him it so he leaves, then they mock him behind his back as he drives away. Conclusion: This demonstrates how a weak frame or strong frame behaves in the wild. In both cases they are emerging from the mindset and emotional state of the person. John Anthony for years has constantly trashed Owen and mocked him trying to imply he is socially weaker than him, often touting his supposed lay count. But with this we can see really it is his immense inner insecurity and jealousy with the attacks being a desperate attempt to save face.
  13. The simplest moral standard is you are responsible for what you are implicated in. Western countries arm Israel’s war crimes and repression, they don’t arm Irans.
  14. Both are true. Socialists failed to sell themselves in many ways, However incompetence isn’t just about winning, there are other factors. If there is an election between a candidate who polls at 1% and another who polls at 99%, then the result is 49% and 51% respectively, the loser was far more competent than the winner who bungled his lead. Still not enough to overcome the odds. Sanders fought an uphill battle and gained ground but lost. Democrats had the advantage and screwed it up.
  15. Not at all. The US and Europe not only arm israel but engage in trade, give aid, provide diplomatic cover. Their support maintains it. The US and Europe do nothing of the sort regarding Iran and go as far as massively sanctioning not just the government but the entire economy. There did seem to be more support during the 2022 Iranian protests yes. I suspect less now because the left is focused on domestic issues & dislike trump and Israels foreign policy actions in the past two years and associate them with the Iranian uprising since they inserted themselves into it.
  16. Depends on the ideal possibilities of success and how closely they got to them.
  17. No, they just did so in an incompetent fashion. Same with many aspects of their governance, hence turning voters against them. Like what republicans are doing now.
  18. They already tried and failed. Now he’s way too popular, unless his tenure as mayor fails.
  19. The only reason you are defending the democrats is because at some point they persuaded you, but somehow you deny the relevance of persuading others in a system which power is awarded though votes (in each state). Ironic.