LordFall

I think all the current violent conflicts on earth will end and we will have world peace in the next 15 years through some form of global council AI police state. Perhaps through the UN or a new similar organization. The fundamental reason is because war is as a whole unprofitable for the human race. It is very profitable for a few invested deeply in the military industrial complexes of their regions but for other power centers in their countries don't benefit from it. Fundamentally if we look at it in terms of incentives we find ourselves with : - Moneymaxxing - Making a lot of money in a sustainable way. Requires certainty, markets dislike uncertainty. A few players benefit from it through the previously mentionned military industrial complex and insider trading but as a whole there is just less capita produced when wars are happening. - Statusmaxxing - World leaders gaining power and prestige through wars. That era seems to be done mostly I believe through social media and the ease to dissiminate information and specifically the horrors and brutality of war. Hard for Netanyahu and Putin to look like glorious leaders of the human race when there is countless clips of their soldiers and missiles killing innocent people. Before social media is was much easier to keep information siloed and thus mostly the mainstream leaders had the status in society. Now we have a variety of other influencers and leaders that are able to obtain notoriety through peaceful means. The recent shooting attempts on Trump have also highlighted how vulnerable world leaders with a public presence are so I think being a cutthroat authoritarian is gonna fall out of style quite soon. There is going to be a massive AI and surveillance war coming in the next decade but in my opinion it is already won by the people. What you might not know is the tech community is fundamentally anti-authoritarian and open source. It's just a game theory exercise, most scenarios eventually fall into a nash equilibrium however unbalanced they are in the short term. The cold war and non-proliferation treaty are a good example of that with nuclear weapons. Concerning that there are talks of them being used again but I think ultimately the laws of mutual benefit and equilibrium will prevail.

Immersion challenges are one of the top ways to make drastic improvement in a short time. I've always wanted to do a full on 30 day challenge but always procrastinated it. Ideally I wanted to wait to be a full on digital nomad with business income so I could do it stress free but I just moved to Montreal and the women are gorgeous here so I figured might as well start the process now. I'm gonna do this newbie starter variation from the GirlsChase forum since my cold approach is rusty and go from there. I like his idea that he presents in his blog here where overall all you need is to talk to 4 new women daily to overhaul your dating life in 30 days. https://www.skilledseducer.com/threads/newbie-assignment.34/ https://www.girlschase.com/content/can-you-approach-4-girls-day-30-days My personal weakness when it comes to this stuff is I tend to overationalize(I'm an INTP) and avoid talking to the women I truly want. I've been on a few years monk mode working on levelling up myself outside of dating so now I think is a good time to bring it back. I did day 4 of the challenge yesterday which was saying Hi to 6 women. I did about 8, felt good. There was a habs games yesterday with a lot of women wearing hockey jerseys so I used that as a crutch to do a few opens that worked probably the best, goes to show the power of rapport. Already a lot of lessons from the simple saying hi challenge, for example when walking around one of the best opportunities is stopping at street lights. I thought it would be really awkward because if it goes bad you both have to stand awkwardly and wait for the light to turn green but I did it it once and it wasn't that bad. I told this girl wearing a cool outfit that I liked her style and she said thank you; if anything I should've kept the conversation going since she smiled and gave me an IoI(played with her hair afterwards) but I'm trying to not pressure myself too much early on since that tends to loop me back into overthinking. I encourage everyone in the forum looking to actually change their dating life to do the same challenge. I see a lot of questions asked where it's obvious that taking action is the main answer. I'm gonna document the results in my obsidian notes, might share it as well in the journal section of the forum if there's interest in learning from my experiences.

This post is for @Leo Gura and really any other that believe in an AI crash. I will seek to prove that this is basically impossible and AI companies are already in the too big to fail category and ChatGPT moving towards military industrial complex instead of a business to consumer model is a proof of that. The whole reshoring manufacturing of America over the next 10 years is based on their tech supremacy. Remember the whole meme of american workers retuning to work in factories? Obviously that will not happen and the US will aim to be a robotics and automation leader, which it's already well positioned to do. A K shaped crash will absolutely happen and will serve in further squeezing the middle class into nothing as their labor becomes literally obsolete. Leo your idea that AI value is based on AGI is misguided. AI value prop is based on enterprise workforce. The whole overinflated valuation of the market is based on the premise that AI agents can replace human employees en masse. That premise is still up in the air but as someone who works with AI tools and automation daily I'd say it's already a done deal, the macro forces are just too powerful and humans not adaptable enough. It's also heavily based in the military industrial complex really as you print money to make top tier weapons with which you secure global trade and force countries into doing commerce under your umbrella and get rich off of financialization and exporting the USD. The US has just proved in its Maduro operation and its Iran strikes that their military supremacy is as unchallenged as ever and the whole tech-AI industry fits right into that. Having said this I would say that claiming that an AI bubble crash is imminent or even likely has a MASSIVE BURDEN OF PROOF under it and I invite anybody to try and make an argument and case for it. I'm pretty confident that the corporate layoffs we've been seeing will keep accelerating throughout this year and it's highly likely that Trump and his Tech buddies will introduce some sort of UBI promise this year with the primaries to secure their votes and burry their epstein scandal further.

@Natasha Tori Maru I'm confused both of these thoughts make complete sense when put together. I'm advocating against AI fear mongering and learned helplessness.

That's a cool site thanks for sharing. The sneaky thing about AI cost that people that haven't studied economics don't see coming is marginal cost. All of business is based on marginal cost. It just means that you the cost of a product or service you offer goes down over time. Unfortunately traditional business(with human employees) falls into unaligned incentives where the worker wants his wages to go up with time whereas the owner wants his labor expenses to go down with time. Current AI agents today can already be deployed for like $0-500 monthly and are only gonna get more efficient with time.

The great thing about Bryan Johnson is he's a visionary. Most visionaries in the past were chastised by regular people in their time, it's the consequence of having a vision beyond the current circumstances.

I think you're spiritually bypassing with this comment. First of all everything has a soul, that's part of what a universal consciousness is. Second of all operating in the greatest common denominator i.e. complaining and fear-mongering online about AI is basically group think which I would call the lowest part of our soul. It takes courage to empower ourselves to solve the deep problems that are facing us, don't fall back into the ostrich effect and hoping that systematic issues of corruption are just gonna solve themselves. As someone who's truly passionate about evolving our species I think using all the tools at our disposal is mandatory.

No I would say most current social media platforms encourage passive consumption more than any type of self-improvement.

Talk about features you'd like instead of just a graphical update IMO. I personally like the idea of isolating different metrics in life and gamifying them to quantify progress. In terms of career/business the metrics are more obvious but even in terms of general well being it should be possible. Make it seamless with AI. What gets measured gets managed.

This is mainly the answer. Complaining about stupid people if you're intelligent you should see it as victimizing yourself. It just means that you lack communication skills, empathy or self-sufficiency. Worry about your own lack of competence instead of other people who you will rarely be able to change. Why do you need to have political debates? Gain power and change the world. Why do you need friction against rigid institutions? Create your own. If you study systems thinking you will realize that human systems are created to benefit mostly those who created them. Complaining about them not benefitting you enough is obviously peak stupidity. Integrate within them as much as you have to, reverse engineer them and make your own.

@Magnanimous I mean Leo himself started his content from his book list and regurgitating concepts from there then he found his own voice, style and teaching material. Everyone does this. Fun fact I didn’t invent English, I stole it from somebody else!

We are closer than we’ve ever been to nuclear fusion being commercially viable. The future of humanity will include basically infinite green energy

Hail Mary was sweet, Ryan Gosling did well here. I highly recommend the Dune movies, it’s kinda like Star Wars but more gritty. Just watched them a couple of months ago, can’t believe I waited this long. The 3rd one is coming this December. Good commentary on the idea of blind faith a well as the main character is basically a fake messiah.

Explain your position then, I'm curious

It's also the bastion of innovation. If you want to empower yourself and your community then american ideas and resources are still world class. Starting with entrepreneurship and AI. I see a lot of people on this forum complaining about the state of the world and it's trajectory and very little about what you're personally doing to improve it for yourself and others.

I 60% disagree with the spirit of this topic, especially because it's in the geopolitics section. Most human thoughts are not quality nor helpful. They are expressing feelings of usually confusion or sadness about topics. Which is understandable but let's not pretend it's gonna solve the very real problems that we are facing as a species. AI is gonna be much better suited for that purpose. There is of course a place for social media to be about emoting and conversing with humans but IMO separating that from actual problem solving is mandatory. AI can be used to identify the root causes to issues and track the progress towards fixing them. People can then utilize their time, energy and resources to fixing them. Random chit chat is separate from that.

If you're try to discredit my arguments then you'll have to explain. Otherwise we'll just assume that you didn't get my points. Do you not see how the different nodes of our species are moving closer and closer together? Our financial systems have been uniting and soon our language barriers will drop. World peace is a very simple concept really, it boils down to a global monopoly on violence that makes state warfare and even violent crime impossible.

They refuse to make a deal while Iran still pursues an uranium enrichment program. Seems half fair to me. We'll see how things progress.

Good transhumanism will radically improve our healthcare system. We need to get religious folks out of any health policy decisions. They unironically advocate for death as a more natural healthcare solution than actually curing diseases.

That's a good point generally guys that grew up with sisters tend to do better with women.

Can definitely learn it. Get fit and talk to lots of women and put ads up online. Lots of lonely women out there. I considered it myself for a bit but ultimately decided against it cuz I like more long term relationships with women don't really wanna see many of them casually. If you're bisexual you'll make bank, I had a roommate that was a male stripper. Easier if you take male clients too but you could do it purely heterosexually as well.

I mean just use condoms as much as you can and if you get HSV just gotta deal with it. I know multiple dudes with 100-500+ body counts and I'm not their doctor but they seem to be doing fine. I'm at like 50 body count myself and I got chlamydia + gonorrhea one time, told the FWB I had at the time, went to the clinic got a shot and it's gone afterwards not really a big deal.

Of course alpha males exist. You can use the simple adem concept of are you at the cause or the effect? In social groups, dating and in your work, are you at the cause of the things taking place or are you like a leaf blowing in the wind if good things happen you're good and enjoy it and if bad things happen then it's bad and you complain.

Well the good thing is it seems that our civilization is integrating itself and global world peace through monopoly force will be achieved within the next 20 years. Until then you can help accelerate the process. Are you working or volunteering on anything charitable? There's all kinds of suffering in reality, I myself work on helping creatives figuring out a viable career path for themselves. I want to get into food charities though because with automated farming I think we could solve world hunger quite soon as well.

Just put the contract and this post in Gemini and ask it what part to take out. Ideally don't make yourself identifiable and just give an anonymous testimony and tell them to blow you if they push back.